Tunisia holds a slim 45.5% implied probability edge as trader consensus favorite in this neutral-venue international friendly at BMO Field in Toronto, driven by their superior squad depth with European-based talents like Ellyes Skhiri and Hannibal Mejbri—though the latter is sidelined by hamstring injury alongside Dylan Bronn and Elias Achouri—contrasting Haiti's lower FIFA ranking around 83rd. Both 2026 World Cup qualifiers enter with mixed recent form: Haiti unbeaten in four of five (DDWLWW), bolstered by new call-ups like Sunderland's Wilson Isidor; Tunisia (DWWLDD) adjusting under new coach Sabri Lamouchi since January post-AFCON last-16 exit. No prior head-to-head amplifies the competitive draw pricing at 30.5%, with cold 0°C weather potentially favoring defensive setups.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

If Haiti wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Feb 28, 2026, 9:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.fifa.comResolver
0x69c47De9D...

If Haiti wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Feb 28, 2026, 9:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.fifa.comResolver
0x69c47De9D...Tunisia holds a slim 45.5% implied probability edge as trader consensus favorite in this neutral-venue international friendly at BMO Field in Toronto, driven by their superior squad depth with European-based talents like Ellyes Skhiri and Hannibal Mejbri—though the latter is sidelined by hamstring injury alongside Dylan Bronn and Elias Achouri—contrasting Haiti's lower FIFA ranking around 83rd. Both 2026 World Cup qualifiers enter with mixed recent form: Haiti unbeaten in four of five (DDWLWW), bolstered by new call-ups like Sunderland's Wilson Isidor; Tunisia (DWWLDD) adjusting under new coach Sabri Lamouchi since January post-AFCON last-16 exit. No prior head-to-head amplifies the competitive draw pricing at 30.5%, with cold 0°C weather potentially favoring defensive setups.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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