In this international friendly at BMO Field serving as World Cup prep for host nation Canada, trader consensus reflects a closely contested matchup with Canada holding a slim 35% implied probability edge over Tunisia (26%) and draw (25.5%), driven by home advantage and recent strong club form from forwards Cyle Larin and Ismaël Koné. However, Canada's squad is depleted by injuries to stars Alphonso Davies, Stephen Eustáquio, Moïse Bombito, and Alistair Johnston, prompting coach Jesse Marsch to rotate lineups after facing Iceland. Tunisia, solid in African competitions, counters with their own absences—midfielder Hannibal Mejbri (hamstring) and Yan Valery—yet remains competitive in a rare head-to-head lacking recent precedent, emphasizing defensive discipline and counterattacks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

If Canada wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Mar 4, 2026, 9:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.fifa.comResolver
0x69c47De9D...

If Canada wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Mar 4, 2026, 9:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.fifa.comResolver
0x69c47De9D...In this international friendly at BMO Field serving as World Cup prep for host nation Canada, trader consensus reflects a closely contested matchup with Canada holding a slim 35% implied probability edge over Tunisia (26%) and draw (25.5%), driven by home advantage and recent strong club form from forwards Cyle Larin and Ismaël Koné. However, Canada's squad is depleted by injuries to stars Alphonso Davies, Stephen Eustáquio, Moïse Bombito, and Alistair Johnston, prompting coach Jesse Marsch to rotate lineups after facing Iceland. Tunisia, solid in African competitions, counters with their own absences—midfielder Hannibal Mejbri (hamstring) and Yan Valery—yet remains competitive in a rare head-to-head lacking recent precedent, emphasizing defensive discipline and counterattacks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions