Venezuela's crude oil production has accelerated to 1.1 million barrels per day (bpd) in March 2026—up from 942,000 bpd in February and 903,000 bpd per OPEC's latest data—following U.S. Treasury's February sanction easings via general licenses enabling Chevron, BP, Eni, Repsol, and Shell to ramp operations, negotiate contracts, and import diluents critical for heavy crude transport. This reversal from sub-900,000 bpd troughs reflects new laws dismantling PDVSA's monopoly, spurring private investment amid dilapidated infrastructure requiring $100-200 billion for restoration. Trader consensus on Polymarket weighs this trajectory against EIA projections for mid-2026 recovery toward pre-sanction peaks near 2.5 million bpd, with risks from political instability and global oversupply glut; watch April OFAC updates and Q2 investment flows for resolution catalysts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено$46,152 Объем
Feb 28, 2027
1 млн
85%
1,1 млн
72%
1,2 млн
42%
1,3 млн
37%
1,4 млн
13%
1,5 млн
11%
1,7 млн
7%
2 млн
5%
$46,152 Объем
1 млн
$0 Объем
85%
1,1 млн
$12,407 Объем
72%
1,2 млн
$0 Объем
42%
1,3 млн
$5,631 Объем
37%
1,4 млн
$16,009 Объем
13%
1,5 млн
$0 Объем
11%
1,7 млн
$0 Объем
7%
2 млн
$12,104 Объем
5%
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.Venezuela's crude oil production has accelerated to 1.1 million barrels per day (bpd) in March 2026—up from 942,000 bpd in February and 903,000 bpd per OPEC's latest data—following U.S. Treasury's February sanction easings via general licenses enabling Chevron, BP, Eni, Repsol, and Shell to ramp operations, negotiate contracts, and import diluents critical for heavy crude transport. This reversal from sub-900,000 bpd troughs reflects new laws dismantling PDVSA's monopoly, spurring private investment amid dilapidated infrastructure requiring $100-200 billion for restoration. Trader consensus on Polymarket weighs this trajectory against EIA projections for mid-2026 recovery toward pre-sanction peaks near 2.5 million bpd, with risks from political instability and global oversupply glut; watch April OFAC updates and Q2 investment flows for resolution catalysts.
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Открытие рынка: Jan 6, 2026, 11:09 PM ET
Объем
$46,152Дата окончания
Feb 28, 2027Открытие рынка
Jan 6, 2026, 11:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.Venezuela's crude oil production has accelerated to 1.1 million barrels per day (bpd) in March 2026—up from 942,000 bpd in February and 903,000 bpd per OPEC's latest data—following U.S. Treasury's February sanction easings via general licenses enabling Chevron, BP, Eni, Repsol, and Shell to ramp operations, negotiate contracts, and import diluents critical for heavy crude transport. This reversal from sub-900,000 bpd troughs reflects new laws dismantling PDVSA's monopoly, spurring private investment amid dilapidated infrastructure requiring $100-200 billion for restoration. Trader consensus on Polymarket weighs this trajectory against EIA projections for mid-2026 recovery toward pre-sanction peaks near 2.5 million bpd, with risks from political instability and global oversupply glut; watch April OFAC updates and Q2 investment flows for resolution catalysts.
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Объем
$46,152Дата окончания
Feb 28, 2027Открытие рынка
Jan 6, 2026, 11:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Venezuela's crude oil production has accelerated to 1.1 million barrels per day (bpd) in March 2026—up from 942,000 bpd in February and 903,000 bpd per OPEC's latest data—following U.S. Treasury's February sanction easings via general licenses enabling Chevron, BP, Eni, Repsol, and Shell to ramp operations, negotiate contracts, and import diluents critical for heavy crude transport. This reversal from sub-900,000 bpd troughs reflects new laws dismantling PDVSA's monopoly, spurring private investment amid dilapidated infrastructure requiring $100-200 billion for restoration. Trader consensus on Polymarket weighs this trajectory against EIA projections for mid-2026 recovery toward pre-sanction peaks near 2.5 million bpd, with risks from political instability and global oversupply glut; watch April OFAC updates and Q2 investment flows for resolution catalysts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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