Market icon

Поменяет ли Орбан Мадьяра на следующего премьер-министра Венгрии к 31 января?

Market icon

Поменяет ли Орбан Мадьяра на следующего премьер-министра Венгрии к 31 января?

Ended: Jan 31

Apr 12

Ended: Jan 31

Apr 12

<1% chance
Polymarket

$13,805 Объем

<1% chance
Polymarket

$13,805 Объем

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, between Viktor Orbán and Péter Magyar, Viktor Orbán becomes the favorite in the "Next Prime Minister of Hungary" market (https://polymarket.com/event/next-prime-minister-of-hungary) for any four-hour period ending by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or earlier. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Viktor Orbán will be considered to have become the favorite for any four-hour period if he is ahead of Péter Magyar in more individual minutes than Péter Magyar is ahead of Viktor Orbán during a qualifying time period.

A tie in the number of minutes will not suffice.

If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome.

The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the "Next Prime Minister of Hungary" market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/will-viktor-orbn-flip-pter-magyar-for-next-prime-minister-of-hungary or through the “Get Resolution” tab with the time set to show the four-hour period window. Both interfaces display the same underlying data.

Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.
Объем
$13,805
Дата окончания
Jan 31, 2026
Открытие рынка
Jan 20, 2026, 2:16 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, between Viktor Orbán and Péter Magyar, Viktor Orbán becomes the favorite in the "Next Prime Minister of Hungary" market (https://polymarket.com/event/next-prime-minister-of-hungary) for any four-hour period ending by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or earlier. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Viktor Orbán will be considered to have become the favorite for any four-hour period if he is ahead of Péter Magyar in more individual minutes than Péter Magyar is ahead of Viktor Orbán during a qualifying time period. A tie in the number of minutes will not suffice. If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the "Next Prime Minister of Hungary" market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/will-viktor-orbn-flip-pter-magyar-for-next-prime-minister-of-hungary or through the “Get Resolution” tab with the time set to show the four-hour period window. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.

Предложенный исход: No

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: No

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, between Viktor Orbán and Péter Magyar, Viktor Orbán becomes the favorite in the "Next Prime Minister of Hungary" market (https://polymarket.com/event/next-prime-minister-of-hungary) for any four-hour period ending by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or earlier. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Viktor Orbán will be considered to have become the favorite for any four-hour period if he is ahead of Péter Magyar in more individual minutes than Péter Magyar is ahead of Viktor Orbán during a qualifying time period.

A tie in the number of minutes will not suffice.

If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome.

The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the "Next Prime Minister of Hungary" market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/will-viktor-orbn-flip-pter-magyar-for-next-prime-minister-of-hungary or through the “Get Resolution” tab with the time set to show the four-hour period window. Both interfaces display the same underlying data.

Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.
Объем
$13,805
Дата окончания
Jan 31, 2026
Открытие рынка
Jan 20, 2026, 2:16 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, between Viktor Orbán and Péter Magyar, Viktor Orbán becomes the favorite in the "Next Prime Minister of Hungary" market (https://polymarket.com/event/next-prime-minister-of-hungary) for any four-hour period ending by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or earlier. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Viktor Orbán will be considered to have become the favorite for any four-hour period if he is ahead of Péter Magyar in more individual minutes than Péter Magyar is ahead of Viktor Orbán during a qualifying time period. A tie in the number of minutes will not suffice. If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the "Next Prime Minister of Hungary" market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/will-viktor-orbn-flip-pter-magyar-for-next-prime-minister-of-hungary or through the “Get Resolution” tab with the time set to show the four-hour period window. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.

Предложенный исход: No

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: No

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Поменяет ли Орбан Мадьяра на следующего премьер-министра Венгрии к 31 января?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Поменяет ли Орбан Мадьяра на следующего премьер-министра Венгрии к 31 января?" has generated $13.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 20, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Поменяет ли Орбан Мадьяра на следующего премьер-министра Венгрии к 31 января?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Поменяет ли Орбан Мадьяра на следующего премьер-министра Венгрии к 31 января?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Поменяет ли Орбан Мадьяра на следующего премьер-министра Венгрии к 31 января?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.