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Мир·Израиль

Израиль начнет крупное наземное наступление в Газе...?

Market icon
Мир·Израиль

Израиль начнет крупное наземное наступление в Газе...?

$492,364 Объем

Oct 31, 2025
Polymarket

$492,364 Объем

Polymarket

31 марта 2026 года

$320,604 Объем

2%

30 июня

$8,067 Объем

16%

31 декабря

$12,806 Объем

38%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.A fragile ceasefire has largely held in Gaza throughout March 2026, enabling limited IDF operations targeting Hamas terrorists planting explosives and destroying infrastructure in the Netzarim corridor, without escalation to a major ground offensive. January reports of contingency plans for a Gaza City operation—requiring U.S. approval under the Trump administration—have not advanced, as Israel diverted resources to expand its ground invasion in southern Lebanon on March 26 and intensify airstrikes against Hezbollah and Iranian targets. Diplomats press for Hamas disarmament in ongoing ceasefire talks, while IDF statements signal potential operations through Passover in early April. This northern focus and diplomatic momentum shape trader assessments ahead of the March 31 deadline.

A fragile ceasefire has largely held in Gaza throughout March 2026, enabling limited IDF operations targeting Hamas terrorists planting explosives and destroying infrastructure in the Netzarim corridor, without escalation to a major ground offensive. January reports of contingency plans for a Gaza City operation—requiring U.S. approval under the Trump administration—have not advanced, as Israel diverted resources to expand its ground invasion in southern Lebanon on March 26 and intensify airstrikes against Hezbollah and Iranian targets. Diplomats press for Hamas disarmament in ongoing ceasefire talks, while IDF statements signal potential operations through Passover in early April. This northern focus and diplomatic momentum shape trader assessments ahead of the March 31 deadline.

Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.A fragile ceasefire has largely held in Gaza throughout March 2026, enabling limited IDF operations targeting Hamas terrorists planting explosives and destroying infrastructure in the Netzarim corridor, without escalation to a major ground offensive. January reports of contingency plans for a Gaza City operation—requiring U.S. approval under the Trump administration—have not advanced, as Israel diverted resources to expand its ground invasion in southern Lebanon on March 26 and intensify airstrikes against Hezbollah and Iranian targets. Diplomats press for Hamas disarmament in ongoing ceasefire talks, while IDF statements signal potential operations through Passover in early April. This northern focus and diplomatic momentum shape trader assessments ahead of the March 31 deadline.

A fragile ceasefire has largely held in Gaza throughout March 2026, enabling limited IDF operations targeting Hamas terrorists planting explosives and destroying infrastructure in the Netzarim corridor, without escalation to a major ground offensive. January reports of contingency plans for a Gaza City operation—requiring U.S. approval under the Trump administration—have not advanced, as Israel diverted resources to expand its ground invasion in southern Lebanon on March 26 and intensify airstrikes against Hezbollah and Iranian targets. Diplomats press for Hamas disarmament in ongoing ceasefire talks, while IDF statements signal potential operations through Passover in early April. This northern focus and diplomatic momentum shape trader assessments ahead of the March 31 deadline.

Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Израиль начнет крупное наземное наступление в Газе...?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 5 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «31 декабря» с 38%, за ним следует «30 июня» с 16%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 38¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 38%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Израиль начнет крупное наземное наступление в Газе...?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $492.4K с момента запуска рынка Oct 19, 2025. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Израиль начнет крупное наземное наступление в Газе...?», просмотри 5 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Израиль начнет крупное наземное наступление в Газе...?» — «31 декабря» с 38%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 38%. Следующий ближайший исход — «30 июня» с 16%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Израиль начнет крупное наземное наступление в Газе...?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.