Israeli Defense Forces continue targeted raids and airstrikes in Gaza targeting Hamas infrastructure and leaders, including recent operations in Jabalia that killed senior commanders, but have refrained from a major ground offensive amid ongoing ceasefire negotiations. Diplomatic efforts intensified last week with US, Qatar, and Egypt mediators advancing a potential hostage-prisoner swap and 60-day truce proposal, following Hamas's response to prior terms. Prime Minister Netanyahu reiterated commitments to dismantle Hamas and secure hostages, balancing domestic protests urging de-escalation with security cabinet pressures for escalation. International scrutiny, including UN General Assembly debates and US election dynamics, weighs against broad invasion, while upcoming talks in Doha could tip toward truce or renewed military action by the market deadline.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено$492,151 Объем
31 марта 2026 года
2%
30 июня
16%
31 декабря
39%
$492,151 Объем
31 марта 2026 года
2%
30 июня
16%
31 декабря
39%
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Nov 13, 2025, 5:51 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Israeli Defense Forces continue targeted raids and airstrikes in Gaza targeting Hamas infrastructure and leaders, including recent operations in Jabalia that killed senior commanders, but have refrained from a major ground offensive amid ongoing ceasefire negotiations. Diplomatic efforts intensified last week with US, Qatar, and Egypt mediators advancing a potential hostage-prisoner swap and 60-day truce proposal, following Hamas's response to prior terms. Prime Minister Netanyahu reiterated commitments to dismantle Hamas and secure hostages, balancing domestic protests urging de-escalation with security cabinet pressures for escalation. International scrutiny, including UN General Assembly debates and US election dynamics, weighs against broad invasion, while upcoming talks in Doha could tip toward truce or renewed military action by the market deadline.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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