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Will Elon Musk endorse the Big Beautiful Bill?

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Will Elon Musk endorse the Big Beautiful Bill?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$148,786 Объем

<1% chance
Polymarket

$148,786 Объем

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk publicly supports or endorses the "One Big Beautiful Bill" by July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

Musk must clearly express support for the bill as a whole—e.g., calling for its passage or praising it. Support for individual components, vague or sarcastic statements, or ambiguous statements will not qualify.

The "One Big Beautiful Bill" refers to the Trump administration's flagship 2025 legislative package—introduced as a budget reconciliation bill and described by Trump or the White House as the "Big Beautiful Bill." Substantial amendments or renaming will not disqualify it, so long as the bill remains a budget reconciliation bill that includes major federal tax policy changes.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$148,786
Дата окончания
Jul 31, 2025
Открытие рынка
Jun 5, 2025, 1:39 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk publicly supports or endorses the "One Big Beautiful Bill" by July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Musk must clearly express support for the bill as a whole—e.g., calling for its passage or praising it. Support for individual components, vague or sarcastic statements, or ambiguous statements will not qualify. The "One Big Beautiful Bill" refers to the Trump administration's flagship 2025 legislative package—introduced as a budget reconciliation bill and described by Trump or the White House as the "Big Beautiful Bill." Substantial amendments or renaming will not disqualify it, so long as the bill remains a budget reconciliation bill that includes major federal tax policy changes. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Предложенный исход: No

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk publicly supports or endorses the "One Big Beautiful Bill" by July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

Musk must clearly express support for the bill as a whole—e.g., calling for its passage or praising it. Support for individual components, vague or sarcastic statements, or ambiguous statements will not qualify.

The "One Big Beautiful Bill" refers to the Trump administration's flagship 2025 legislative package—introduced as a budget reconciliation bill and described by Trump or the White House as the "Big Beautiful Bill." Substantial amendments or renaming will not disqualify it, so long as the bill remains a budget reconciliation bill that includes major federal tax policy changes.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$148,786
Дата окончания
Jul 31, 2025
Открытие рынка
Jun 5, 2025, 1:39 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk publicly supports or endorses the "One Big Beautiful Bill" by July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Musk must clearly express support for the bill as a whole—e.g., calling for its passage or praising it. Support for individual components, vague or sarcastic statements, or ambiguous statements will not qualify. The "One Big Beautiful Bill" refers to the Trump administration's flagship 2025 legislative package—introduced as a budget reconciliation bill and described by Trump or the White House as the "Big Beautiful Bill." Substantial amendments or renaming will not disqualify it, so long as the bill remains a budget reconciliation bill that includes major federal tax policy changes. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Предложенный исход: No

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Elon Musk endorse the Big Beautiful Bill?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will Elon Musk endorse the Big Beautiful Bill?" has generated $148.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 5, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will Elon Musk endorse the Big Beautiful Bill?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will Elon Musk endorse the Big Beautiful Bill?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will Elon Musk endorse the Big Beautiful Bill?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.