Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No" at 95.9% implied probability for another country boycotting Eurovision 2026 by March 31, driven by the absence of fresh withdrawal announcements since the European Broadcasting Union (EBU) confirmed 35 participants in December 2025, including returns from Bulgaria, Moldova, and Romania. The five prior pullouts—Iceland, Ireland, the Netherlands, Slovenia, and Spain—stemmed from protests over Israel's participation amid the Gaza conflict, but recent national selections, like Finland's duo Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen on March 1 and Australia's Delta Goodrem confirmation, signal continued commitment from others despite artist-level dissent. With Vienna's May event approaching and just days until the deadline, no credible broadcaster threats have emerged, reflecting EBU stability. Realistic upsets could involve last-minute geopolitical flares or domestic pressure forcing a late exit, though historical patterns suggest minimal late changes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоДа
$19,420 Объем
$19,420 Объем
Mar 31, 2026
Да
$19,420 Объем
$19,420 Объем
Mar 31, 2026
Iceland has become the fifth country to announce a boycott of the 2026 Eurovision Song Contest over Israel’s participation. You can read more about this development here: https://www.theguardian.com/tv-and-radio/2025/dec/10/iceland-becomes-fifth-country-to-boycott-eurovison-2026-over-israel.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country other than Iceland, Spain, Slovenia, the Netherlands, or Ireland announces a boycott of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 between this market’s creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Only boycotts, defined as official declarations of non-participation, will qualify for resolution. Bans or exclusions will not qualify.
The qualifying boycott announcement must occur within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the respective countries, the European Broadcasting Union (EBU), and Eurovision; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No" at 95.9% implied probability for another country boycotting Eurovision 2026 by March 31, driven by the absence of fresh withdrawal announcements since the European Broadcasting Union (EBU) confirmed 35 participants in December 2025, including returns from Bulgaria, Moldova, and Romania. The five prior pullouts—Iceland, Ireland, the Netherlands, Slovenia, and Spain—stemmed from protests over Israel's participation amid the Gaza conflict, but recent national selections, like Finland's duo Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen on March 1 and Australia's Delta Goodrem confirmation, signal continued commitment from others despite artist-level dissent. With Vienna's May event approaching and just days until the deadline, no credible broadcaster threats have emerged, reflecting EBU stability. Realistic upsets could involve last-minute geopolitical flares or domestic pressure forcing a late exit, though historical patterns suggest minimal late changes.
Iceland has become the fifth country to announce a boycott of the 2026 Eurovision Song Contest over Israel’s participation. You can read more about this development here: https://www.theguardian.com/tv-and-radio/2025/dec/10/iceland-becomes-fifth-country-to-boycott-eurovison-2026-over-israel.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country other than Iceland, Spain, Slovenia, the Netherlands, or Ireland announces a boycott of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 between this market’s creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Only boycotts, defined as official declarations of non-participation, will qualify for resolution. Bans or exclusions will not qualify.
The qualifying boycott announcement must occur within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the respective countries, the European Broadcasting Union (EBU), and Eurovision; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country other than Iceland, Spain, Slovenia, the Netherlands, or Ireland announces a boycott of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 between this market’s creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Only boycotts, defined as official declarations of non-participation, will qualify for resolution. Bans or exclusions will not qualify.
The qualifying boycott announcement must occur within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the respective countries, the European Broadcasting Union (EBU), and Eurovision; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Открытие рынка: Dec 12, 2025, 4:50 PM ET
Объем
$19,420Дата окончания
Mar 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Dec 12, 2025, 4:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iceland has become the fifth country to announce a boycott of the 2026 Eurovision Song Contest over Israel’s participation. You can read more about this development here: https://www.theguardian.com/tv-and-radio/2025/dec/10/iceland-becomes-fifth-country-to-boycott-eurovison-2026-over-israel.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country other than Iceland, Spain, Slovenia, the Netherlands, or Ireland announces a boycott of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 between this market’s creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Only boycotts, defined as official declarations of non-participation, will qualify for resolution. Bans or exclusions will not qualify.
The qualifying boycott announcement must occur within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the respective countries, the European Broadcasting Union (EBU), and Eurovision; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No" at 95.9% implied probability for another country boycotting Eurovision 2026 by March 31, driven by the absence of fresh withdrawal announcements since the European Broadcasting Union (EBU) confirmed 35 participants in December 2025, including returns from Bulgaria, Moldova, and Romania. The five prior pullouts—Iceland, Ireland, the Netherlands, Slovenia, and Spain—stemmed from protests over Israel's participation amid the Gaza conflict, but recent national selections, like Finland's duo Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen on March 1 and Australia's Delta Goodrem confirmation, signal continued commitment from others despite artist-level dissent. With Vienna's May event approaching and just days until the deadline, no credible broadcaster threats have emerged, reflecting EBU stability. Realistic upsets could involve last-minute geopolitical flares or domestic pressure forcing a late exit, though historical patterns suggest minimal late changes.
Iceland has become the fifth country to announce a boycott of the 2026 Eurovision Song Contest over Israel’s participation. You can read more about this development here: https://www.theguardian.com/tv-and-radio/2025/dec/10/iceland-becomes-fifth-country-to-boycott-eurovison-2026-over-israel.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country other than Iceland, Spain, Slovenia, the Netherlands, or Ireland announces a boycott of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 between this market’s creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Only boycotts, defined as official declarations of non-participation, will qualify for resolution. Bans or exclusions will not qualify.
The qualifying boycott announcement must occur within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the respective countries, the European Broadcasting Union (EBU), and Eurovision; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country other than Iceland, Spain, Slovenia, the Netherlands, or Ireland announces a boycott of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 between this market’s creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Only boycotts, defined as official declarations of non-participation, will qualify for resolution. Bans or exclusions will not qualify.
The qualifying boycott announcement must occur within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the respective countries, the European Broadcasting Union (EBU), and Eurovision; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Объем
$19,420Дата окончания
Mar 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Dec 12, 2025, 4:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No" at 95.9% implied probability for another country boycotting Eurovision 2026 by March 31, driven by the absence of fresh withdrawal announcements since the European Broadcasting Union (EBU) confirmed 35 participants in December 2025, including returns from Bulgaria, Moldova, and Romania. The five prior pullouts—Iceland, Ireland, the Netherlands, Slovenia, and Spain—stemmed from protests over Israel's participation amid the Gaza conflict, but recent national selections, like Finland's duo Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen on March 1 and Australia's Delta Goodrem confirmation, signal continued commitment from others despite artist-level dissent. With Vienna's May event approaching and just days until the deadline, no credible broadcaster threats have emerged, reflecting EBU stability. Realistic upsets could involve last-minute geopolitical flares or domestic pressure forcing a late exit, though historical patterns suggest minimal late changes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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