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Политика·Трамп

Кто посетил остров Эпштейна?

Market icon
Политика·Трамп

Кто посетил остров Эпштейна?

$1,598,109 Объем

30 июн. 2026 г.
Polymarket

$1,598,109 Объем

Polymarket

Ричард Брэнсон

$51,908 Объем

36%

Дипак Чопра

$11,841 Объем

18%

Кевин Спейси

$27,886 Объем

14%

Вуди Аллен

$12,830 Объем

14%

Стив Бэннон

$57,934 Объем

12%

Стивен Тиш

$4,728 Объем

10%

Билл Клинтон

$262,762 Объем

8%

Ноам Хомский

$25,656 Объем

7%

Билл Гейтс

$100,157 Объем

7%

Билл Косби

$8,860 Объем

5%

Харви Вайнштейн

$18,555 Объем

5%

Майкл Джексон

$155,063 Объем

4%

Хиллари Клинтон

$39,800 Объем

4%

Дональд Трамп

$132,138 Объем

3%

Питер Аттия

$6,969 Объем

3%

Джей-Зи

$578,487 Объем

3%

Илон Маск

$80,862 Объем

2%

Марко Рубио

$21,674 Объем

1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution. If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The U.S. Department of Justice's release of over three million Epstein files in late January 2026, following congressional pressure via the Epstein Files Transparency Act, has dominated trader focus, revealing emails, flight logs from the Lolita Express, and witness accounts naming prominent figures like Elon Musk, Bill Gates, and others associated with Jeffrey Epstein. However, these documents provide limited new confirmations of visits specifically to Little Saint James—Epstein's private island—distinguishing plane travel from on-site presence, building on prior unsealed records from the Ghislaine Maxwell sex-trafficking trial. No major island-specific disclosures have emerged in the past 30 days amid ongoing fallout including resignations and investigations; further DOJ batches or congressional hearings could alter trader assessments of visitor evidence.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$1,598,109
Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Feb 12, 2026, 5:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution. If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution. If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The U.S. Department of Justice's release of over three million Epstein files in late January 2026, following congressional pressure via the Epstein Files Transparency Act, has dominated trader focus, revealing emails, flight logs from the Lolita Express, and witness accounts naming prominent figures like Elon Musk, Bill Gates, and others associated with Jeffrey Epstein. However, these documents provide limited new confirmations of visits specifically to Little Saint James—Epstein's private island—distinguishing plane travel from on-site presence, building on prior unsealed records from the Ghislaine Maxwell sex-trafficking trial. No major island-specific disclosures have emerged in the past 30 days amid ongoing fallout including resignations and investigations; further DOJ batches or congressional hearings could alter trader assessments of visitor evidence.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$1,598,109
Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Feb 12, 2026, 5:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution. If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Кто посетил остров Эпштейна?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 18 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Ричард Брэнсон» с 36%, за ним следует «Дипак Чопра» с 18%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 36¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 36%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Кто посетил остров Эпштейна?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $1.6 million с момента запуска рынка Feb 12, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Кто посетил остров Эпштейна?», просмотри 18 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Кто посетил остров Эпштейна?» — «Ричард Брэнсон» с 36%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 36%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Дипак Чопра» с 18%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Кто посетил остров Эпштейна?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.