US and Israel launched major strikes against Iran on February 28, killing the Supreme Leader and targeting nuclear sites like Natanz, sparking a month-long conflict with Iranian missile barrages on Israeli cities and threats to Gulf energy infrastructure. Saudi Arabia and UAE have prepared for potential retaliation if their facilities are hit, while UK, France, and Germany signaled readiness for defensive strikes on Iranian missile assets amid regional escalation involving Houthis. As of March 29, no additional nations have acted, with Pakistan set to host US-Iran talks and Trump pausing energy strikes for diplomacy, tempering trader expectations for further military action before the March 31 deadline despite ongoing skirmishes and over 3,500 casualties reported.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено$10,830,120 Объем
Mar 31, 2026
Саудовская Аравия
4%
ОАЭ
3%
Катар
2%
Бахрейн
2%
Иордания
1%
Любая страна ЕС
1%
Великобритания
1%
Кувейт
1%
Турция
1%
Франция
1%
Оман
1%
Канада
<1%
Германия
<1%
$10,830,120 Объем
Саудовская Аравия
$2,204,293 Объем
4%
ОАЭ
$2,849,866 Объем
3%
Катар
$946,104 Объем
2%
Бахрейн
$392,798 Объем
2%
Иордания
$189,646 Объем
1%
Любая страна ЕС
$472,045 Объем
1%
Великобритания
$948,387 Объем
1%
Кувейт
$211,526 Объем
1%
Турция
$481,794 Объем
1%
Франция
$750,278 Объем
1%
Оман
$132,053 Объем
1%
Канада
$339,302 Объем
<1%
Германия
$912,029 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if any E.U. member state initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed entity's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US and Israel launched major strikes against Iran on February 28, killing the Supreme Leader and targeting nuclear sites like Natanz, sparking a month-long conflict with Iranian missile barrages on Israeli cities and threats to Gulf energy infrastructure. Saudi Arabia and UAE have prepared for potential retaliation if their facilities are hit, while UK, France, and Germany signaled readiness for defensive strikes on Iranian missile assets amid regional escalation involving Houthis. As of March 29, no additional nations have acted, with Pakistan set to host US-Iran talks and Trump pausing energy strikes for diplomacy, tempering trader expectations for further military action before the March 31 deadline despite ongoing skirmishes and over 3,500 casualties reported.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Feb 28, 2026, 8:01 PM ET
Объем
$10,830,120Дата окончания
Mar 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Feb 28, 2026, 8:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if any E.U. member state initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed entity's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US and Israel launched major strikes against Iran on February 28, killing the Supreme Leader and targeting nuclear sites like Natanz, sparking a month-long conflict with Iranian missile barrages on Israeli cities and threats to Gulf energy infrastructure. Saudi Arabia and UAE have prepared for potential retaliation if their facilities are hit, while UK, France, and Germany signaled readiness for defensive strikes on Iranian missile assets amid regional escalation involving Houthis. As of March 29, no additional nations have acted, with Pakistan set to host US-Iran talks and Trump pausing energy strikes for diplomacy, tempering trader expectations for further military action before the March 31 deadline despite ongoing skirmishes and over 3,500 casualties reported.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$10,830,120Дата окончания
Mar 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Feb 28, 2026, 8:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US and Israel launched major strikes against Iran on February 28, killing the Supreme Leader and targeting nuclear sites like Natanz, sparking a month-long conflict with Iranian missile barrages on Israeli cities and threats to Gulf energy infrastructure. Saudi Arabia and UAE have prepared for potential retaliation if their facilities are hit, while UK, France, and Germany signaled readiness for defensive strikes on Iranian missile assets amid regional escalation involving Houthis. As of March 29, no additional nations have acted, with Pakistan set to host US-Iran talks and Trump pausing energy strikes for diplomacy, tempering trader expectations for further military action before the March 31 deadline despite ongoing skirmishes and over 3,500 casualties reported.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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