Amid the intensifying US-Iran conflict involving Israeli strikes and US military actions, the Trump administration delivered a 15-point ceasefire proposal to Tehran via Pakistan on March 24, calling for curbs on Iran's nuclear program and enriched uranium stocks in exchange for de-escalation. Iran confirmed reviewing the plan on March 26 but stated no interest in direct talks, while President Trump signaled diplomatic progress alongside ongoing operations. US Middle East envoy Steve Witkoff indicated possible high-level meetings this week during a March 27 conference, potentially in Islamabad. Earlier indirect negotiations in Oman and Geneva yielded mixed results, leaving trader consensus focused on Iran's red lines, mediator efforts, and verification of any in-person diplomatic engagement.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоДипломатическая встреча США и Ирана...?
Дипломатическая встреча США и Ирана...?
$970,871 Объем
Apr 30, 2026
31 марта
7%
10 апреля
20%
30 апреля
45%
30 июня
80%
$970,871 Объем
31 марта
$616,607 Объем
7%
10 апреля
$2,385 Объем
20%
30 апреля
$89,870 Объем
45%
30 июня
$16,418 Объем
80%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Amid the intensifying US-Iran conflict involving Israeli strikes and US military actions, the Trump administration delivered a 15-point ceasefire proposal to Tehran via Pakistan on March 24, calling for curbs on Iran's nuclear program and enriched uranium stocks in exchange for de-escalation. Iran confirmed reviewing the plan on March 26 but stated no interest in direct talks, while President Trump signaled diplomatic progress alongside ongoing operations. US Middle East envoy Steve Witkoff indicated possible high-level meetings this week during a March 27 conference, potentially in Islamabad. Earlier indirect negotiations in Oman and Geneva yielded mixed results, leaving trader consensus focused on Iran's red lines, mediator efforts, and verification of any in-person diplomatic engagement.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Mar 12, 2026, 1:42 PM ET
Объем
$970,871Дата окончания
Mar 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 12, 2026, 1:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Amid the intensifying US-Iran conflict involving Israeli strikes and US military actions, the Trump administration delivered a 15-point ceasefire proposal to Tehran via Pakistan on March 24, calling for curbs on Iran's nuclear program and enriched uranium stocks in exchange for de-escalation. Iran confirmed reviewing the plan on March 26 but stated no interest in direct talks, while President Trump signaled diplomatic progress alongside ongoing operations. US Middle East envoy Steve Witkoff indicated possible high-level meetings this week during a March 27 conference, potentially in Islamabad. Earlier indirect negotiations in Oman and Geneva yielded mixed results, leaving trader consensus focused on Iran's red lines, mediator efforts, and verification of any in-person diplomatic engagement.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$970,871Дата окончания
Mar 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 12, 2026, 1:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Amid the intensifying US-Iran conflict involving Israeli strikes and US military actions, the Trump administration delivered a 15-point ceasefire proposal to Tehran via Pakistan on March 24, calling for curbs on Iran's nuclear program and enriched uranium stocks in exchange for de-escalation. Iran confirmed reviewing the plan on March 26 but stated no interest in direct talks, while President Trump signaled diplomatic progress alongside ongoing operations. US Middle East envoy Steve Witkoff indicated possible high-level meetings this week during a March 27 conference, potentially in Islamabad. Earlier indirect negotiations in Oman and Geneva yielded mixed results, leaving trader consensus focused on Iran's red lines, mediator efforts, and verification of any in-person diplomatic engagement.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы