Yemen's Iran-backed Houthi rebels escalated regional tensions in late March 2026 by launching missile and drone assaults on Israel—the second such attack within days—in solidarity with Iran amid its conflict with the US and Israel, prompting fears of broader proxy war involvement. The US has sustained retaliatory airstrikes on Houthi targets, including Central Command operations against concentrations in western Yemen on March 26 and reported strikes in Sanaa on March 28 that killed civilians. These tit-for-tat actions, rooted in Houthi disruptions of Red Sea shipping, reflect trader consensus on calibrated US responses short of full escalation. Upcoming Houthi threats or Iranian diplomatic signals could prompt further military action before March 31.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено$368,614 Объем
Mar 31, 2026
31 марта
7%
$368,614 Объем
31 марта
$268,820 Объем
7%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemen soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If no qualifying strike is confirmed by the resolution date this market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Yemen's Iran-backed Houthi rebels escalated regional tensions in late March 2026 by launching missile and drone assaults on Israel—the second such attack within days—in solidarity with Iran amid its conflict with the US and Israel, prompting fears of broader proxy war involvement. The US has sustained retaliatory airstrikes on Houthi targets, including Central Command operations against concentrations in western Yemen on March 26 and reported strikes in Sanaa on March 28 that killed civilians. These tit-for-tat actions, rooted in Houthi disruptions of Red Sea shipping, reflect trader consensus on calibrated US responses short of full escalation. Upcoming Houthi threats or Iranian diplomatic signals could prompt further military action before March 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemen soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If no qualifying strike is confirmed by the resolution date this market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If no qualifying strike is confirmed by the resolution date this market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Открытие рынка: Feb 3, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
Объем
$368,614Дата окончания
Mar 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Feb 3, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemen soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If no qualifying strike is confirmed by the resolution date this market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Yemen's Iran-backed Houthi rebels escalated regional tensions in late March 2026 by launching missile and drone assaults on Israel—the second such attack within days—in solidarity with Iran amid its conflict with the US and Israel, prompting fears of broader proxy war involvement. The US has sustained retaliatory airstrikes on Houthi targets, including Central Command operations against concentrations in western Yemen on March 26 and reported strikes in Sanaa on March 28 that killed civilians. These tit-for-tat actions, rooted in Houthi disruptions of Red Sea shipping, reflect trader consensus on calibrated US responses short of full escalation. Upcoming Houthi threats or Iranian diplomatic signals could prompt further military action before March 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemen soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If no qualifying strike is confirmed by the resolution date this market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If no qualifying strike is confirmed by the resolution date this market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Объем
$368,614Дата окончания
Mar 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Feb 3, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Yemen's Iran-backed Houthi rebels escalated regional tensions in late March 2026 by launching missile and drone assaults on Israel—the second such attack within days—in solidarity with Iran amid its conflict with the US and Israel, prompting fears of broader proxy war involvement. The US has sustained retaliatory airstrikes on Houthi targets, including Central Command operations against concentrations in western Yemen on March 26 and reported strikes in Sanaa on March 28 that killed civilians. These tit-for-tat actions, rooted in Houthi disruptions of Red Sea shipping, reflect trader consensus on calibrated US responses short of full escalation. Upcoming Houthi threats or Iranian diplomatic signals could prompt further military action before March 31.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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