Tensions between the US and Colombia peaked in early January 2026 when President Trump threatened military action against President Petro following a US strike in Venezuela, citing narco-trafficking and regional instability, prompting Petro to warn of a "real threat" of invasion. Diplomatic efforts, including a February Trump-Petro summit focused on counternarcotics cooperation, have since de-escalated rhetoric, with both nations agreeing to target drug bosses. Recent US-backed Ecuadorian airstrikes near the Colombia border under "Operation Total Extermination"—described by Pentagon officials as the start of a broader campaign—have fueled speculation without triggering a direct US drone, missile, or aerial strike on Colombian soil. Colombia's May 2026 presidential election looms as a pivotal factor that could reshape bilateral ties and trader consensus on escalation risks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено$1,498,511 Объем
31 янв. 2026 г.
31 декабря
20%
$1,498,511 Объем
31 декабря
$421,296 Объем
20%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on the soil of Colombia is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Tensions between the US and Colombia peaked in early January 2026 when President Trump threatened military action against President Petro following a US strike in Venezuela, citing narco-trafficking and regional instability, prompting Petro to warn of a "real threat" of invasion. Diplomatic efforts, including a February Trump-Petro summit focused on counternarcotics cooperation, have since de-escalated rhetoric, with both nations agreeing to target drug bosses. Recent US-backed Ecuadorian airstrikes near the Colombia border under "Operation Total Extermination"—described by Pentagon officials as the start of a broader campaign—have fueled speculation without triggering a direct US drone, missile, or aerial strike on Colombian soil. Colombia's May 2026 presidential election looms as a pivotal factor that could reshape bilateral ties and trader consensus on escalation risks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on the soil of Colombia is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Открытие рынка: Jan 4, 2026, 2:46 PM ET
Объем
$1,498,511Дата окончания
31 янв. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 4, 2026, 2:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on the soil of Colombia is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Tensions between the US and Colombia peaked in early January 2026 when President Trump threatened military action against President Petro following a US strike in Venezuela, citing narco-trafficking and regional instability, prompting Petro to warn of a "real threat" of invasion. Diplomatic efforts, including a February Trump-Petro summit focused on counternarcotics cooperation, have since de-escalated rhetoric, with both nations agreeing to target drug bosses. Recent US-backed Ecuadorian airstrikes near the Colombia border under "Operation Total Extermination"—described by Pentagon officials as the start of a broader campaign—have fueled speculation without triggering a direct US drone, missile, or aerial strike on Colombian soil. Colombia's May 2026 presidential election looms as a pivotal factor that could reshape bilateral ties and trader consensus on escalation risks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on the soil of Colombia is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Объем
$1,498,511Дата окончания
31 янв. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 4, 2026, 2:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Tensions between the US and Colombia peaked in early January 2026 when President Trump threatened military action against President Petro following a US strike in Venezuela, citing narco-trafficking and regional instability, prompting Petro to warn of a "real threat" of invasion. Diplomatic efforts, including a February Trump-Petro summit focused on counternarcotics cooperation, have since de-escalated rhetoric, with both nations agreeing to target drug bosses. Recent US-backed Ecuadorian airstrikes near the Colombia border under "Operation Total Extermination"—described by Pentagon officials as the start of a broader campaign—have fueled speculation without triggering a direct US drone, missile, or aerial strike on Colombian soil. Colombia's May 2026 presidential election looms as a pivotal factor that could reshape bilateral ties and trader consensus on escalation risks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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