Ukraine's constitution (Articles 83 and 108) and electoral code bar presidential elections during martial law, declared since Russia's 2022 invasion and extended 90 days at a time by the Verkhovna Rada—most recently on January 14, 2026. In March 2026, President Zelenskyy and the electoral commission ruled out 2026 polls, insisting a fair vote requires active war's end plus six months post-ceasefire, defying US pressure under President Trump for earlier elections amid peace talks. No snap election or legal workaround has advanced. Traders eye the mid-April martial law extension vote and ceasefire signals, as lifting restrictions hinges on de-escalation.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено$1,977,337 Объем
30 июня 2026 года
3%
31 декабря 2026 года
21%
$1,977,337 Объем
30 июня 2026 года
3%
31 декабря 2026 года
21%
This market is based on whether national elections are actually held in Ukraine within the specified dates. Merely scheduling an election will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes".
If elections are officially scheduled for a date outside this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Открытие рынка: Nov 13, 2025, 11:19 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market is based on whether national elections are actually held in Ukraine within the specified dates. Merely scheduling an election will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes".
If elections are officially scheduled for a date outside this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Ukraine's constitution (Articles 83 and 108) and electoral code bar presidential elections during martial law, declared since Russia's 2022 invasion and extended 90 days at a time by the Verkhovna Rada—most recently on January 14, 2026. In March 2026, President Zelenskyy and the electoral commission ruled out 2026 polls, insisting a fair vote requires active war's end plus six months post-ceasefire, defying US pressure under President Trump for earlier elections amid peace talks. No snap election or legal workaround has advanced. Traders eye the mid-April martial law extension vote and ceasefire signals, as lifting restrictions hinges on de-escalation.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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