Trader consensus favors Catherine Trautmann at 54% implied probability to win the 2026 Strasbourg mayoral election, propelled by recent polls like the November Ifop survey showing her leading first-round voting intentions at 31%, ahead of incumbent Jeanne Barseghian's 22%. Trautmann's edge stems from her prior tenure as mayor and national Socialist profile, capitalizing on left-wing divisions and voter fatigue with Barseghian's green-led administration amid budget strains and urban planning disputes. Jeanne Barseghian holds 40% on reelection momentum despite trailing, while Jean-Philippe Veter's 11% reflects National Rally's limited local traction. No major catalysts have shifted odds recently, with focus on early 2025 campaign endorsements.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоStrasbourg Mayoral Election Winner
Strasbourg Mayoral Election Winner
Жанна Барсегян 46%
Катрин Траутман 46%
Жан-Филипп Ветер 11%
$8,475 Объем
$8,475 Объем
Mar 22, 2026
Жанна Барсегян
40%
Катрин Траутман
54%
Жан-Филипп Ветер
11%
Жанна Барсегян 46%
Катрин Траутман 46%
Жан-Филипп Ветер 11%
$8,475 Объем
$8,475 Объем
Mar 22, 2026
Жанна Барсегян
$4,244 Объем
40%
Катрин Траутман
$2,331 Объем
54%
Жан-Филипп Ветер
$1,900 Объем
11%
The second round municipal election to elect the municipal council of Strasbourg is scheduled to take place on March 22, 2026; the elected councillors will then choose the mayor.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Strasbourg.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The second round municipal election to elect the municipal council of Strasbourg is scheduled to take place on March 22, 2026; the elected councillors will then choose the mayor.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Strasbourg.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The second round municipal election to elect the municipal council of Strasbourg is scheduled to take place on March 22, 2026; the elected councillors will then choose the mayor.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Strasbourg.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
The second round municipal election to elect the municipal council of Strasbourg is scheduled to take place on March 22, 2026; the elected councillors will then choose the mayor.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Strasbourg.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The second round municipal election to elect the municipal council of Strasbourg is scheduled to take place on March 22, 2026; the elected councillors will then choose the mayor.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Strasbourg.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Strasbourg.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Открытие рынка: Mar 19, 2026, 7:34 PM ET
Объем
$8,475Дата окончания
Mar 22, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 19, 2026, 7:34 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The second round municipal election to elect the municipal council of Strasbourg is scheduled to take place on March 22, 2026; the elected councillors will then choose the mayor.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Strasbourg.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The second round municipal election to elect the municipal council of Strasbourg is scheduled to take place on March 22, 2026; the elected councillors will then choose the mayor.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Strasbourg.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The second round municipal election to elect the municipal council of Strasbourg is scheduled to take place on March 22, 2026; the elected councillors will then choose the mayor.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Strasbourg.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Объем
$8,475Дата окончания
Mar 22, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 19, 2026, 7:34 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors Catherine Trautmann at 54% implied probability to win the 2026 Strasbourg mayoral election, propelled by recent polls like the November Ifop survey showing her leading first-round voting intentions at 31%, ahead of incumbent Jeanne Barseghian's 22%. Trautmann's edge stems from her prior tenure as mayor and national Socialist profile, capitalizing on left-wing divisions and voter fatigue with Barseghian's green-led administration amid budget strains and urban planning disputes. Jeanne Barseghian holds 40% on reelection momentum despite trailing, while Jean-Philippe Veter's 11% reflects National Rally's limited local traction. No major catalysts have shifted odds recently, with focus on early 2025 campaign endorsements.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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