Trader consensus favors no Perplexity IPO before 2028 at 44.5% implied probability, reflecting the AI search engine's absence of public filing announcements or S-1 preparations amid booming private funding—most recently closing a $200 million round in September 2025 at a $20 billion valuation, up from $9 billion late 2024. Surging revenue to around $200 million annualized run rate by late 2025, driven by Pro and enterprise subscriptions, fuels optimism for high-cap outcomes like 50B–75B (29.8%) or 40B–50B (19.9%) if it goes public, though dependency on third-party large language models from OpenAI, Anthropic, and others as an orchestration layer raises risks of commoditization. Watch for Q1 2026 revenue updates or next funding signals amid intensifying competition from Google Gemini and integrated AI assistants.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоНедоумение Закрытие IPO Рыночная капитализация
Недоумение Закрытие IPO Рыночная капитализация
Нет IPO до 2028 года 43%
40–50 млрд 16.8%
50–75 млрд 7.8%
75–100 млрд 4.8%
$124,354 Объем
$124,354 Объем
31 дек. 2027 г.
<20 млрд
3%
20–30 млрд
3%
30–40 млрд
4%
40–50 млрд
20%
50–75 млрд
30%
75–100 млрд
5%
100 млрд+
4%
Нет IPO до 2028 года
43%
Нет IPO до 2028 года 43%
40–50 млрд 16.8%
50–75 млрд 7.8%
75–100 млрд 4.8%
$124,354 Объем
$124,354 Объем
31 дек. 2027 г.
<20 млрд
$4,381 Объем
3%
20–30 млрд
$5,711 Объем
3%
30–40 млрд
$0 Объем
4%
40–50 млрд
$0 Объем
20%
50–75 млрд
$6,171 Объем
30%
75–100 млрд
$3,177 Объем
5%
100 млрд+
$0 Объем
4%
Нет IPO до 2028 года
$104,914 Объем
43%
This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus favors no Perplexity IPO before 2028 at 44.5% implied probability, reflecting the AI search engine's absence of public filing announcements or S-1 preparations amid booming private funding—most recently closing a $200 million round in September 2025 at a $20 billion valuation, up from $9 billion late 2024. Surging revenue to around $200 million annualized run rate by late 2025, driven by Pro and enterprise subscriptions, fuels optimism for high-cap outcomes like 50B–75B (29.8%) or 40B–50B (19.9%) if it goes public, though dependency on third-party large language models from OpenAI, Anthropic, and others as an orchestration layer raises risks of commoditization. Watch for Q1 2026 revenue updates or next funding signals amid intensifying competition from Google Gemini and integrated AI assistants.
This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Открытие рынка: Jan 5, 2026, 6:06 PM ET
Объем
$124,354Дата окончания
31 дек. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 5, 2026, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus favors no Perplexity IPO before 2028 at 44.5% implied probability, reflecting the AI search engine's absence of public filing announcements or S-1 preparations amid booming private funding—most recently closing a $200 million round in September 2025 at a $20 billion valuation, up from $9 billion late 2024. Surging revenue to around $200 million annualized run rate by late 2025, driven by Pro and enterprise subscriptions, fuels optimism for high-cap outcomes like 50B–75B (29.8%) or 40B–50B (19.9%) if it goes public, though dependency on third-party large language models from OpenAI, Anthropic, and others as an orchestration layer raises risks of commoditization. Watch for Q1 2026 revenue updates or next funding signals amid intensifying competition from Google Gemini and integrated AI assistants.
This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Объем
$124,354Дата окончания
31 дек. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 5, 2026, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors no Perplexity IPO before 2028 at 44.5% implied probability, reflecting the AI search engine's absence of public filing announcements or S-1 preparations amid booming private funding—most recently closing a $200 million round in September 2025 at a $20 billion valuation, up from $9 billion late 2024. Surging revenue to around $200 million annualized run rate by late 2025, driven by Pro and enterprise subscriptions, fuels optimism for high-cap outcomes like 50B–75B (29.8%) or 40B–50B (19.9%) if it goes public, though dependency on third-party large language models from OpenAI, Anthropic, and others as an orchestration layer raises risks of commoditization. Watch for Q1 2026 revenue updates or next funding signals amid intensifying competition from Google Gemini and integrated AI assistants.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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