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Технологии·IPOS

Недоумение Закрытие IPO Рыночная капитализация

Market icon
Технологии·IPOS

Недоумение Закрытие IPO Рыночная капитализация

Нет IPO до 2028 года 46%

40–50 млрд 16.8%

50–75 млрд 7.8%

100 млрд+ 4.5%

Polymarket

$124,354 Объем

Нет IPO до 2028 года 46%

40–50 млрд 16.8%

50–75 млрд 7.8%

100 млрд+ 4.5%

Polymarket

$124,354 Объем

<20 млрд

$4,381 Объем

3%

20–30 млрд

$5,711 Объем

3%

30–40 млрд

$0 Объем

4%

40–50 млрд

$0 Объем

21%

50–75 млрд

$6,171 Объем

28%

75–100 млрд

$3,177 Объем

3%

100 млрд+

$0 Объем

4%

Нет IPO до 2028 года

$104,914 Объем

46%

This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Perplexity AI's IPO before 2028 at just 54% implied probability, with "No IPO before 2028" leading at 46%, reflecting the AI search engine's focus on private funding rather than public listings. The startup, valued at around $20 billion post its September 2025 $200 million round and exploring further raises like a $1.5 billion Series E at $18 billion as of late March 2026, prioritizes scaling its model-agnostic orchestration layer—routing queries across Claude, Gemini, Grok, and others—amid $200 million ARR and projections for $656 million by year-end. High-cap outcomes like 50B–75B (28%) and 40B–50B (21%) stem from this premium private valuation multiple, tempered by risks from model providers like OpenAI and Anthropic integrating native orchestration, plus recent setbacks such as the delayed Snap AI integration. Watch for Q2 funding closes or enterprise adoption milestones that could signal IPO timelines.

This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.

If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".

Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Объем
$124,354
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2027 г.
Открытие рынка
Jan 5, 2026, 6:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Perplexity AI's IPO before 2028 at just 54% implied probability, with "No IPO before 2028" leading at 46%, reflecting the AI search engine's focus on private funding rather than public listings. The startup, valued at around $20 billion post its September 2025 $200 million round and exploring further raises like a $1.5 billion Series E at $18 billion as of late March 2026, prioritizes scaling its model-agnostic orchestration layer—routing queries across Claude, Gemini, Grok, and others—amid $200 million ARR and projections for $656 million by year-end. High-cap outcomes like 50B–75B (28%) and 40B–50B (21%) stem from this premium private valuation multiple, tempered by risks from model providers like OpenAI and Anthropic integrating native orchestration, plus recent setbacks such as the delayed Snap AI integration. Watch for Q2 funding closes or enterprise adoption milestones that could signal IPO timelines.

This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.

If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".

Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Объем
$124,354
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2027 г.
Открытие рынка
Jan 5, 2026, 6:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Недоумение Закрытие IPO Рыночная капитализация» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 8 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Нет IPO до 2028 года» с 46%, за ним следует «50–75 млрд» с 28%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 46¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 46%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Недоумение Закрытие IPO Рыночная капитализация» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $124.4K с момента запуска рынка Jan 5, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Недоумение Закрытие IPO Рыночная капитализация», просмотри 8 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Недоумение Закрытие IPO Рыночная капитализация» — «Нет IPO до 2028 года» с 46%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 46%. Следующий ближайший исход — «50–75 млрд» с 28%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Недоумение Закрытие IPO Рыночная капитализация» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.