Market icon

Закрытие IPO OpenAI рыночная капитализация выше ___ ?

Market icon

Закрытие IPO OpenAI рыночная капитализация выше ___ ?

Polymarket

$1,445,968 Объем

Polymarket

$1,445,968 Объем

$800 млрд

$79,360 Объем

73%

$1 трлн

$1,037,269 Объем

63%

$1,2 трлн

$237,301 Объем

47%

$1,4 трлн

$50,917 Объем

28%

$1,6 трлн

$41,120 Объем

17%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.OpenAI's blockbuster $122 billion funding round, closed April 1, 2026, at an $852 billion post-money valuation—the largest private raise ever—has driven Polymarket trader consensus to 78% implied probability for the IPO closing market cap exceeding $800 billion and 61% above $1 trillion, reflecting strong investor appetite for AI dominance. This surge follows 2025 annualized revenues topping $20 billion amid aggressive growth, though massive cash burn—projected at $14 billion losses in 2026—fuels caution, with odds dipping to 47% above $1.2 trillion. Preparations for a Q4 2026 listing, including SEC filing and bank engagements to preempt Anthropic, remain key catalysts, alongside macroeconomic risk sentiment and competitive revenue dynamics.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
Объем
$1,445,968
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2027 г.
Открытие рынка
Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.OpenAI's blockbuster $122 billion funding round, closed April 1, 2026, at an $852 billion post-money valuation—the largest private raise ever—has driven Polymarket trader consensus to 78% implied probability for the IPO closing market cap exceeding $800 billion and 61% above $1 trillion, reflecting strong investor appetite for AI dominance. This surge follows 2025 annualized revenues topping $20 billion amid aggressive growth, though massive cash burn—projected at $14 billion losses in 2026—fuels caution, with odds dipping to 47% above $1.2 trillion. Preparations for a Q4 2026 listing, including SEC filing and bank engagements to preempt Anthropic, remain key catalysts, alongside macroeconomic risk sentiment and competitive revenue dynamics.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
Объем
$1,445,968
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2027 г.
Открытие рынка
Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Закрытие IPO OpenAI рыночная капитализация выше ___ ?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 5 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «$800 млрд» с 73%, за ним следует «$1 трлн» с 63%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 73¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 73%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Закрытие IPO OpenAI рыночная капитализация выше ___ ?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $1.4 million с момента запуска рынка Jan 31, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Закрытие IPO OpenAI рыночная капитализация выше ___ ?», просмотри 5 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Закрытие IPO OpenAI рыночная капитализация выше ___ ?» — «$800 млрд» с 73%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 73%. Следующий ближайший исход — «$1 трлн» с 63%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Закрытие IPO OpenAI рыночная капитализация выше ___ ?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.