Incumbent Rep. Adriano Espaillat leads trader consensus at 70.5% implied probability in the NY-13 Democratic primary on June 23, driven by his strong Hispanic voter base in the diverse Upper Manhattan-Bronx district and recent boosts including progressive endorsements reported May 14 and $475,000 in ad spending from the Latino Victory Fund. Challenger Darializa Avila Chevalier, a DSA-backed public defender and pro-Palestine activist, holds 29.5% amid April internal polls showing Espaillat's support softening to 42% before her messaging lifts her to 46%, though no public polls have emerged since. Espaillat's ramped-up campaign efforts this week underscore incumbency advantages in a crowded field, with turnout among renters and key demographics pivotal.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоАдриано Эспайят 71%
Дариализа Авила Шевалье 30%
Оскар Ромеро 1.7%
Тео Чино-Таварес <1%
$22,772 Объем
$22,772 Объем
Адриано Эспайят
71%
Дариализа Авила Шевалье
30%
Оскар Ромеро
2%
Тео Чино-Таварес
<1%
Меган Родригес
<1%
Джалил Амадор
<1%
Джеймс Фелтон Кит
<1%
Мэтт Миллер
<1%
Адриано Эспайят 71%
Дариализа Авила Шевалье 30%
Оскар Ромеро 1.7%
Тео Чино-Таварес <1%
$22,772 Объем
$22,772 Объем
Адриано Эспайят
71%
Дариализа Авила Шевалье
30%
Оскар Ромеро
2%
Тео Чино-Таварес
<1%
Меган Родригес
<1%
Джалил Амадор
<1%
Джеймс Фелтон Кит
<1%
Мэтт Миллер
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Открытие рынка: Dec 19, 2025, 3:59 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Adriano Espaillat leads trader consensus at 70.5% implied probability in the NY-13 Democratic primary on June 23, driven by his strong Hispanic voter base in the diverse Upper Manhattan-Bronx district and recent boosts including progressive endorsements reported May 14 and $475,000 in ad spending from the Latino Victory Fund. Challenger Darializa Avila Chevalier, a DSA-backed public defender and pro-Palestine activist, holds 29.5% amid April internal polls showing Espaillat's support softening to 42% before her messaging lifts her to 46%, though no public polls have emerged since. Espaillat's ramped-up campaign efforts this week underscore incumbency advantages in a crowded field, with turnout among renters and key demographics pivotal.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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