Skip to main content
<1% вероятность
Polymarket

$4,088 Объем

<1% вероятность
Polymarket

$4,088 Объем

This market will resolve to "Yes" if John Fleming withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 Senate campaign, by June 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fleming or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Louisiana State Treasurer John Fleming advanced to the June 27 Republican primary runoff for the U.S. Senate seat after finishing second behind Rep. Julia Letlow in the May 16 contest. He has repeatedly rejected reported offers of administration positions, including a CDC deputy director role floated earlier this year, and has maintained an active campaign schedule with public events and fundraising into mid-June. Fleming continues to emphasize his positions on issues such as opposition to certain carbon storage projects, signaling sustained commitment with only days remaining before the runoff and the market's resolution deadline. These consistent actions by the candidate and the compressed timeline underpin trader consensus against a withdrawal.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if John Fleming withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 Senate campaign, by June 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fleming or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$4,088
Дата окончания
26 июн. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
May 18, 2026, 6:47 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if John Fleming withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 Senate campaign, by June 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fleming or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Предложенный исход: No

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if John Fleming withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 Senate campaign, by June 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fleming or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Louisiana State Treasurer John Fleming advanced to the June 27 Republican primary runoff for the U.S. Senate seat after finishing second behind Rep. Julia Letlow in the May 16 contest. He has repeatedly rejected reported offers of administration positions, including a CDC deputy director role floated earlier this year, and has maintained an active campaign schedule with public events and fundraising into mid-June. Fleming continues to emphasize his positions on issues such as opposition to certain carbon storage projects, signaling sustained commitment with only days remaining before the runoff and the market's resolution deadline. These consistent actions by the candidate and the compressed timeline underpin trader consensus against a withdrawal.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if John Fleming withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 Senate campaign, by June 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fleming or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$4,088
Дата окончания
26 июн. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
May 18, 2026, 6:47 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if John Fleming withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 Senate campaign, by June 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fleming or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Предложенный исход: No

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: No

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Will John Fleming drop out?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции «Да» или «Нет» в зависимости от того, верят ли они, что это событие произойдёт. Текущая вероятность по мнению сообщества составляет 0% для «Yes». Например, если «Да» торгуется по 0¢, рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность наступления события в 0%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются по мере реакции трейдеров на новые события и информацию. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Will John Fleming drop out?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен May 18, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Will John Fleming drop out?», просто выбери, считаешь ли ты, что ответ — «Да» или «Нет». Каждая сторона имеет текущую цену, отражающую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если ты купишь акции «Да» и исход разрешится как «Да», каждая акция принесёт $1. Если исход — «Нет», твои акции «Да» принесут $0. Ты также можешь продать свои акции в любой момент до разрешения, чтобы зафиксировать прибыль или ограничить убыток.

Текущая вероятность для «Will John Fleming drop out?» составляет 0% для «Yes». Это означает, что сообщество Polymarket в настоящее время оценивает вероятность наступления этого события в 0%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени на основе реальных сделок, предоставляя постоянно обновляемый сигнал ожиданий рынка.

Правила разрешения «Will John Fleming drop out?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.