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23% вероятность
Polymarket
НОВОЕ
23% вероятность
Polymarket
НОВОЕ
This market will resolve to "Yes" if John Fleming withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 Senate campaign, by June 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fleming or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.John Fleming, the Louisiana state treasurer and former congressman, advanced to the June 27 Republican Senate runoff against U.S. Representative Julia Letlow after placing second in the May 16 primary. He has continued active campaigning since, including media appearances appealing to additional voters and no public statements signaling withdrawal or suspension. Earlier allegations of job offers tied to a potential exit were publicly declined by Fleming, with no subsequent developments altering his ballot status. Traders assign a 77.5 percent implied probability that he remains in the race through the June 26 resolution deadline, reflecting the short timeline, his continued participation, and absence of recent catalysts for dropout.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if John Fleming withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 Senate campaign, by June 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fleming or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$2,693
Дата окончания
26 июн. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
May 18, 2026, 6:47 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if John Fleming withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 Senate campaign, by June 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fleming or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if John Fleming withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 Senate campaign, by June 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fleming or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.John Fleming, the Louisiana state treasurer and former congressman, advanced to the June 27 Republican Senate runoff against U.S. Representative Julia Letlow after placing second in the May 16 primary. He has continued active campaigning since, including media appearances appealing to additional voters and no public statements signaling withdrawal or suspension. Earlier allegations of job offers tied to a potential exit were publicly declined by Fleming, with no subsequent developments altering his ballot status. Traders assign a 77.5 percent implied probability that he remains in the race through the June 26 resolution deadline, reflecting the short timeline, his continued participation, and absence of recent catalysts for dropout.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if John Fleming withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 Senate campaign, by June 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fleming or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$2,693
Дата окончания
26 июн. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
May 18, 2026, 6:47 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if John Fleming withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 Senate campaign, by June 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fleming or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Will John Fleming drop out?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции «Да» или «Нет» в зависимости от того, верят ли они, что это событие произойдёт. Текущая вероятность по мнению сообщества составляет 23% для «Yes». Например, если «Да» торгуется по 23¢, рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность наступления события в 23%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются по мере реакции трейдеров на новые события и информацию. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Will John Fleming drop out?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен May 18, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Will John Fleming drop out?», просто выбери, считаешь ли ты, что ответ — «Да» или «Нет». Каждая сторона имеет текущую цену, отражающую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если ты купишь акции «Да» и исход разрешится как «Да», каждая акция принесёт $1. Если исход — «Нет», твои акции «Да» принесут $0. Ты также можешь продать свои акции в любой момент до разрешения, чтобы зафиксировать прибыль или ограничить убыток.

Текущая вероятность для «Will John Fleming drop out?» составляет 23% для «Yes». Это означает, что сообщество Polymarket в настоящее время оценивает вероятность наступления этого события в 23%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени на основе реальных сделок, предоставляя постоянно обновляемый сигнал ожиданий рынка.

Правила разрешения «Will John Fleming drop out?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.