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Следующий лидер отстранен от власти до 2027 года?

Market icon

Следующий лидер отстранен от власти до 2027 года?

дек. 31

дек. 31

Орбан — премьер-министр Венгрии 60%

Диас-Канель — президент Кубы 11%

Петро — Президент Колумбии 8.0%

Стармер — премьер-министр Великобритании 3.4%

Polymarket

$3,535,051 Объем

Орбан — премьер-министр Венгрии 60%

Диас-Канель — президент Кубы 11%

Петро — Президент Колумбии 8.0%

Стармер — премьер-министр Великобритании 3.4%

Polymarket

$3,535,051 Объем

Орбан — премьер-министр Венгрии

$34,279 Объем

60%

Диас-Канель — президент Кубы

$23,550 Объем

11%

Петро — Президент Колумбии

$19,275 Объем

8%

Стармер — премьер-министр Великобритании

$563,644 Объем

3%

Нетаньяху - премьер-министр Израиля

$1,016,406 Объем

3%

Такаити - Премьер-министр Японии

$356,896 Объем

2%

Трамп - Президент США

$219,629 Объем

2%

Путин – Президент России

$359,428 Объем

2%

Никто до 2027 года

$22,162 Объем

2%

Зеленский — Президент Украины

$20,058 Объем

1%

Макрон — Президент Франции

$75,160 Объем

1%

Аббас — президент Палестины

$89,145 Объем

1%

Си — Генеральный секретарь КПК

$46,296 Объем

1%

Шейнбаум — Президент Мексики

$71,293 Объем

1%

Санчес — премьер-министр Испании

$23,681 Объем

1%

Лекорню — Премьер-министр Франции

$71,967 Объем

1%

Лула да Силва — президент Бразилии

$75,966 Объем

<1%

Родригес - исполняющая обязанности президента Венесуэлы

$28,792 Объем

<1%

аль-Шараа - Президент Сирии

$46,184 Объем

<1%

Эрдоган — Президент Турции

$81,043 Объем

<1%

Албанезе — премьер-министр Австралии

$64,248 Объем

<1%

Ньюсом - губернатор Калифорнии

$120,788 Объем

<1%

Милей — Президент Аргентины

$43,127 Объем

<1%

Мерц - канцлер Германии

$33,874 Объем

<1%

Ким — Верховный лидер Северной Кореи

$28,159 Объем

<1%

This market will resolve according to the first individual who ceases to occupy their listed office. An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify. Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count. Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market. If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus prices Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán at 60% to be the next leader out of power before 2027, driven by polls showing his Fidesz party trailing the opposition Tisza alliance ahead of the April 12 parliamentary election—recent surveys from the past week indicate Tisza widening its lead amid massive anti-government protests and reports of Orbán allies shifting assets abroad amid corruption probes. Cuba's President Miguel Díaz-Canel follows at 10.5%, reflecting Havana's ongoing energy grid collapses and U.S. demands for his ouster as a precondition for bilateral talks, including recent prisoner releases. Colombia's President Gustavo Petro at 8% stems from persistent cabinet instability and security threats, though lacking imminent electoral pressure, while others trail due to distant timelines or entrenched positions. The Hungary vote remains the pivotal near-term catalyst.

This market will resolve according to the first individual who ceases to occupy their listed office.

An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.

Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.

Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.

If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$3,535,051
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Mar 2, 2026, 7:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the first individual who ceases to occupy their listed office. An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify. Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count. Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market. If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the first individual who ceases to occupy their listed office. An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify. Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count. Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market. If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus prices Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán at 60% to be the next leader out of power before 2027, driven by polls showing his Fidesz party trailing the opposition Tisza alliance ahead of the April 12 parliamentary election—recent surveys from the past week indicate Tisza widening its lead amid massive anti-government protests and reports of Orbán allies shifting assets abroad amid corruption probes. Cuba's President Miguel Díaz-Canel follows at 10.5%, reflecting Havana's ongoing energy grid collapses and U.S. demands for his ouster as a precondition for bilateral talks, including recent prisoner releases. Colombia's President Gustavo Petro at 8% stems from persistent cabinet instability and security threats, though lacking imminent electoral pressure, while others trail due to distant timelines or entrenched positions. The Hungary vote remains the pivotal near-term catalyst.

This market will resolve according to the first individual who ceases to occupy their listed office.

An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.

Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.

Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.

If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$3,535,051
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Mar 2, 2026, 7:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the first individual who ceases to occupy their listed office. An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify. Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count. Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market. If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Следующий лидер отстранен от власти до 2027 года?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 25 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Орбан — премьер-министр Венгрии» с 60%, за ним следует «Диас-Канель — президент Кубы» с 11%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 60¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 60%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Следующий лидер отстранен от власти до 2027 года?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $3.5 million с момента запуска рынка Mar 3, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Следующий лидер отстранен от власти до 2027 года?», просмотри 25 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Следующий лидер отстранен от власти до 2027 года?» — «Орбан — премьер-министр Венгрии» с 60%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 60%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Диас-Канель — президент Кубы» с 11%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Следующий лидер отстранен от власти до 2027 года?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.