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Следующий лидер отстранен от власти до 2027 года?

Market icon

Следующий лидер отстранен от власти до 2027 года?

дек. 31

дек. 31

Орбан — премьер-министр Венгрии 63%

Диас-Канель — президент Кубы 13%

Петро — Президент Колумбии 3.5%

Стармер — премьер-министр Великобритании 3.2%

Polymarket

$3,521,090 Объем

Орбан — премьер-министр Венгрии 63%

Диас-Канель — президент Кубы 13%

Петро — Президент Колумбии 3.5%

Стармер — премьер-министр Великобритании 3.2%

Polymarket

$3,521,090 Объем

Орбан — премьер-министр Венгрии

$33,020 Объем

63%

Диас-Канель — президент Кубы

$23,045 Объем

13%

Петро — Президент Колумбии

$18,218 Объем

3%

Стармер — премьер-министр Великобритании

$563,272 Объем

3%

Нетаньяху - премьер-министр Израиля

$1,015,701 Объем

3%

Такаити - Премьер-министр Японии

$356,446 Объем

2%

Трамп - Президент США

$217,325 Объем

2%

Путин – Президент России

$359,078 Объем

2%

Никто до 2027 года

$21,675 Объем

2%

Шейнбаум — Президент Мексики

$70,933 Объем

1%

Зеленский — Президент Украины

$19,708 Объем

1%

Макрон — Президент Франции

$74,810 Объем

1%

Аббас — президент Палестины

$88,736 Объем

1%

Си — Генеральный секретарь КПК

$45,946 Объем

1%

Санчес — премьер-министр Испании

$23,331 Объем

1%

Лекорню — Премьер-министр Франции

$71,617 Объем

1%

Лула да Силва — президент Бразилии

$74,531 Объем

1%

аль-Шараа - Президент Сирии

$45,999 Объем

<1%

Родригес - исполняющая обязанности президента Венесуэлы

$28,607 Объем

<1%

Милей — Президент Аргентины

$42,765 Объем

<1%

Мерц - канцлер Германии

$33,513 Объем

<1%

Эрдоган — Президент Турции

$80,693 Объем

<1%

Албанезе — премьер-министр Австралии

$63,898 Объем

<1%

Ньюсом - губернатор Калифорнии

$120,423 Объем

<1%

Ким — Верховный лидер Северной Кореи

$27,798 Объем

<1%

This market will resolve according to the first individual who ceases to occupy their listed office. An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify. Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count. Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market. If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus heavily favors Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán exiting power first before 2027, reflecting polls showing his Fidesz party trailing challenger Péter Magyar's Tisza party ahead of the April 12 parliamentary election. Recent massive anti-government protests, allegations of voter intimidation via cash and drugs, and Orbán's EU policy blockades have eroded support, positioning him as an underdog after 16 years in office. Cuba's Miguel Díaz-Canel ranks second amid U.S. demands for his removal to advance negotiations, fueled by economic collapse, blackouts, and protests, though Havana rejects concessions. Lower odds for leaders like Colombia's Petro, UK's Starmer, and Israel's Netanyahu stem from less imminent catalysts like scandals or coalition strains, with the Hungary vote as the key near-term event.

This market will resolve according to the first individual who ceases to occupy their listed office.

An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.

Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.

Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.

If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$3,521,090
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Mar 2, 2026, 7:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the first individual who ceases to occupy their listed office. An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify. Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count. Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market. If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the first individual who ceases to occupy their listed office. An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify. Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count. Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market. If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus heavily favors Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán exiting power first before 2027, reflecting polls showing his Fidesz party trailing challenger Péter Magyar's Tisza party ahead of the April 12 parliamentary election. Recent massive anti-government protests, allegations of voter intimidation via cash and drugs, and Orbán's EU policy blockades have eroded support, positioning him as an underdog after 16 years in office. Cuba's Miguel Díaz-Canel ranks second amid U.S. demands for his removal to advance negotiations, fueled by economic collapse, blackouts, and protests, though Havana rejects concessions. Lower odds for leaders like Colombia's Petro, UK's Starmer, and Israel's Netanyahu stem from less imminent catalysts like scandals or coalition strains, with the Hungary vote as the key near-term event.

This market will resolve according to the first individual who ceases to occupy their listed office.

An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.

Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.

Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.

If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$3,521,090
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Mar 2, 2026, 7:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the first individual who ceases to occupy their listed office. An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify. Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count. Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market. If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Следующий лидер отстранен от власти до 2027 года?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 25 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Орбан — премьер-министр Венгрии» с 63%, за ним следует «Диас-Канель — президент Кубы» с 13%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 63¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 63%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Следующий лидер отстранен от власти до 2027 года?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $3.5 million с момента запуска рынка Mar 3, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Следующий лидер отстранен от власти до 2027 года?», просмотри 25 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Следующий лидер отстранен от власти до 2027 года?» — «Орбан — премьер-министр Венгрии» с 63%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 63%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Диас-Канель — президент Кубы» с 13%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Следующий лидер отстранен от власти до 2027 года?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.