Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects overwhelming confidence that no confirmed underwater wreckage from Malaysia Airlines Flight MH370 will surface by June 30, 2026, with "No" commanding a 96.5% implied probability following Ocean Infinity's official March 8 announcement that its extensive "no find, no fee" seabed search—covering 7,571 square kilometers in phases through January 23—yielded zero detections despite advanced robotics in the southern Indian Ocean. This marks the fifth fruitless major effort since 2014, underscoring the vast search area's challenges and lack of new leads, with the contract effectively suspended early despite running to June. Realistic upsets remain slim: a surprise government-funded resumption or accidental discovery by unrelated vessels, though historical patterns and family pleas for extension have yet to materialize amid rapid shifts in aviation mysteries.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПодводные обломки MH370 найдены к 30 июня 2026 года?
Подводные обломки MH370 найдены к 30 июня 2026 года?
Да
$114,220 Объем
$114,220 Объем
30 июн. 2026 г.
Да
$114,220 Объем
$114,220 Объем
30 июн. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if new underwater wreckage from Malaysia Airlines Flight MH 370 is found by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of resolving this market, 'found' means that new underwater wreckage must be discovered between December 4, 2025 and June 30, 2026.
Wreckage that washed ashore/afloat and previous findings of wreckage will NOT qualify - only underwater wreckage will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
It is not necessary for the wreckage to be recovered, only that its location is definitively identified. If wreckage is located before the resolution date, but it unknown as to whether it came from MH370, this market may stay open until a consensus has been reached as to the wreckage's origin.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects overwhelming confidence that no confirmed underwater wreckage from Malaysia Airlines Flight MH370 will surface by June 30, 2026, with "No" commanding a 96.5% implied probability following Ocean Infinity's official March 8 announcement that its extensive "no find, no fee" seabed search—covering 7,571 square kilometers in phases through January 23—yielded zero detections despite advanced robotics in the southern Indian Ocean. This marks the fifth fruitless major effort since 2014, underscoring the vast search area's challenges and lack of new leads, with the contract effectively suspended early despite running to June. Realistic upsets remain slim: a surprise government-funded resumption or accidental discovery by unrelated vessels, though historical patterns and family pleas for extension have yet to materialize amid rapid shifts in aviation mysteries.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if new underwater wreckage from Malaysia Airlines Flight MH 370 is found by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of resolving this market, 'found' means that new underwater wreckage must be discovered between December 4, 2025 and June 30, 2026.
Wreckage that washed ashore/afloat and previous findings of wreckage will NOT qualify - only underwater wreckage will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
It is not necessary for the wreckage to be recovered, only that its location is definitively identified. If wreckage is located before the resolution date, but it unknown as to whether it came from MH370, this market may stay open until a consensus has been reached as to the wreckage's origin.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of resolving this market, 'found' means that new underwater wreckage must be discovered between December 4, 2025 and June 30, 2026.
Wreckage that washed ashore/afloat and previous findings of wreckage will NOT qualify - only underwater wreckage will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
It is not necessary for the wreckage to be recovered, only that its location is definitively identified. If wreckage is located before the resolution date, but it unknown as to whether it came from MH370, this market may stay open until a consensus has been reached as to the wreckage's origin.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Dec 4, 2025, 2:50 PM ET
Объем
$114,220Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 4, 2025, 2:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if new underwater wreckage from Malaysia Airlines Flight MH 370 is found by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of resolving this market, 'found' means that new underwater wreckage must be discovered between December 4, 2025 and June 30, 2026.
Wreckage that washed ashore/afloat and previous findings of wreckage will NOT qualify - only underwater wreckage will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
It is not necessary for the wreckage to be recovered, only that its location is definitively identified. If wreckage is located before the resolution date, but it unknown as to whether it came from MH370, this market may stay open until a consensus has been reached as to the wreckage's origin.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects overwhelming confidence that no confirmed underwater wreckage from Malaysia Airlines Flight MH370 will surface by June 30, 2026, with "No" commanding a 96.5% implied probability following Ocean Infinity's official March 8 announcement that its extensive "no find, no fee" seabed search—covering 7,571 square kilometers in phases through January 23—yielded zero detections despite advanced robotics in the southern Indian Ocean. This marks the fifth fruitless major effort since 2014, underscoring the vast search area's challenges and lack of new leads, with the contract effectively suspended early despite running to June. Realistic upsets remain slim: a surprise government-funded resumption or accidental discovery by unrelated vessels, though historical patterns and family pleas for extension have yet to materialize amid rapid shifts in aviation mysteries.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if new underwater wreckage from Malaysia Airlines Flight MH 370 is found by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of resolving this market, 'found' means that new underwater wreckage must be discovered between December 4, 2025 and June 30, 2026.
Wreckage that washed ashore/afloat and previous findings of wreckage will NOT qualify - only underwater wreckage will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
It is not necessary for the wreckage to be recovered, only that its location is definitively identified. If wreckage is located before the resolution date, but it unknown as to whether it came from MH370, this market may stay open until a consensus has been reached as to the wreckage's origin.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of resolving this market, 'found' means that new underwater wreckage must be discovered between December 4, 2025 and June 30, 2026.
Wreckage that washed ashore/afloat and previous findings of wreckage will NOT qualify - only underwater wreckage will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
It is not necessary for the wreckage to be recovered, only that its location is definitively identified. If wreckage is located before the resolution date, but it unknown as to whether it came from MH370, this market may stay open until a consensus has been reached as to the wreckage's origin.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$114,220Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 4, 2025, 2:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects overwhelming confidence that no confirmed underwater wreckage from Malaysia Airlines Flight MH370 will surface by June 30, 2026, with "No" commanding a 96.5% implied probability following Ocean Infinity's official March 8 announcement that its extensive "no find, no fee" seabed search—covering 7,571 square kilometers in phases through January 23—yielded zero detections despite advanced robotics in the southern Indian Ocean. This marks the fifth fruitless major effort since 2014, underscoring the vast search area's challenges and lack of new leads, with the contract effectively suspended early despite running to June. Realistic upsets remain slim: a surprise government-funded resumption or accidental discovery by unrelated vessels, though historical patterns and family pleas for extension have yet to materialize amid rapid shifts in aviation mysteries.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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