Market icon

Major cyberattack on Iran in June?

>99% chance
Polymarket

$17,449,127 Объем

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a major cyberattack occurs in Iran between June 11 and June 30, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

To qualify, the attack must cause significant disruption, damage, or unauthorized access affecting core national systems—such as critical infrastructure, state institutions, the financial system, defense networks, or nuclear facilities.

Examples of qualifying events include the 2021 and 2023 fuel network attacks, breaches of government or military systems resulting in leaked classified data, or the 2024 IRLeaks bank hack that disrupted a majority of Iran’s banking sector.

Smaller-scale incidents—such as attacks on individual organizations which do not target core national systems will not qualify.

Attacks which are thwarted without significant disruption, damage, or unauthorized access will not qualify.

The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$17,449,127
Дата окончания
Jun 30, 2025
Дата создания
Jun 11, 2025, 6:42 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a major cyberattack occurs in Iran between June 11 and June 30, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, the attack must cause significant disruption, damage, or unauthorized access affecting core national systems—such as critical infrastructure, state institutions, the financial system, defense networks, or nuclear facilities. Examples of qualifying events include the 2021 and 2023 fuel network attacks, breaches of government or military systems resulting in leaked classified data, or the 2024 IRLeaks bank hack that disrupted a majority of Iran’s banking sector. Smaller-scale incidents—such as attacks on individual organizations which do not target core national systems will not qualify. Attacks which are thwarted without significant disruption, damage, or unauthorized access will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Предложенный исход: Yes

Оспаривается

Предложенный исход: Yes

Оспаривается

Окончательный исход: Yes

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Major cyberattack on Iran in June?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 100% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 100¢, the market collectively assigns a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Major cyberattack on Iran in June?" has generated $17.4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Major cyberattack on Iran in June?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Major cyberattack on Iran in June?" is 100% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Major cyberattack on Iran in June?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.
Market icon

Major cyberattack on Iran in June?

>99% chance
Polymarket

$17,449,127 Объем

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a major cyberattack occurs in Iran between June 11 and June 30, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

To qualify, the attack must cause significant disruption, damage, or unauthorized access affecting core national systems—such as critical infrastructure, state institutions, the financial system, defense networks, or nuclear facilities.

Examples of qualifying events include the 2021 and 2023 fuel network attacks, breaches of government or military systems resulting in leaked classified data, or the 2024 IRLeaks bank hack that disrupted a majority of Iran’s banking sector.

Smaller-scale incidents—such as attacks on individual organizations which do not target core national systems will not qualify.

Attacks which are thwarted without significant disruption, damage, or unauthorized access will not qualify.

The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$17,449,127
Дата окончания
Jun 30, 2025
Дата создания
Jun 11, 2025, 6:42 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a major cyberattack occurs in Iran between June 11 and June 30, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, the attack must cause significant disruption, damage, or unauthorized access affecting core national systems—such as critical infrastructure, state institutions, the financial system, defense networks, or nuclear facilities. Examples of qualifying events include the 2021 and 2023 fuel network attacks, breaches of government or military systems resulting in leaked classified data, or the 2024 IRLeaks bank hack that disrupted a majority of Iran’s banking sector. Smaller-scale incidents—such as attacks on individual organizations which do not target core national systems will not qualify. Attacks which are thwarted without significant disruption, damage, or unauthorized access will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Предложенный исход: Yes

Оспаривается

Предложенный исход: Yes

Оспаривается

Окончательный исход: Yes

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Major cyberattack on Iran in June?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 100% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 100¢, the market collectively assigns a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Major cyberattack on Iran in June?" has generated $17.4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Major cyberattack on Iran in June?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Major cyberattack on Iran in June?" is 100% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Major cyberattack on Iran in June?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.