Lee Jae-myung, leader of South Korea's opposition Democratic Party, holds no constitutional office subject to impeachment, which targets the president, prime minister, justices, and select officials under Article 65—explaining traders' 91.5% consensus against impeachment before 2027. His ongoing criminal trials, including a suspended November 2024 conviction for election law violations now under appeal at the Supreme Court, involve criminal penalties rather than parliamentary impeachment. Recent catalysts like President Yoon Suk Yeol's December 14 impeachment by the National Assembly—pushed by Lee's party—and the Constitutional Court's pending review have heightened political volatility, but no motions target Lee, with snap elections unlikely to position him for swift impeachment. Traders weigh these structural barriers alongside base rates of rare successful impeachments.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоЛи Чжэ Мён был подвергнут импичменту до 2027 года?
Ли Чжэ Мён был подвергнут импичменту до 2027 года?
Да
Да
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Открытие рынка: Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Lee Jae-myung, leader of South Korea's opposition Democratic Party, holds no constitutional office subject to impeachment, which targets the president, prime minister, justices, and select officials under Article 65—explaining traders' 91.5% consensus against impeachment before 2027. His ongoing criminal trials, including a suspended November 2024 conviction for election law violations now under appeal at the Supreme Court, involve criminal penalties rather than parliamentary impeachment. Recent catalysts like President Yoon Suk Yeol's December 14 impeachment by the National Assembly—pushed by Lee's party—and the Constitutional Court's pending review have heightened political volatility, but no motions target Lee, with snap elections unlikely to position him for swift impeachment. Traders weigh these structural barriers alongside base rates of rare successful impeachments.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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