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Технологии·IPOS

Ведущий банк в IPO SpaceX?

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Технологии·IPOS

Ведущий банк в IPO SpaceX?

Morgan Stanley 36%

Goldman Sachs 28%

Bank of America 20.5%

JPMorgan 2.7%

Polymarket

$1,236,092 Объем

Morgan Stanley 36%

Goldman Sachs 28%

Bank of America 20.5%

JPMorgan 2.7%

Polymarket

$1,236,092 Объем

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Morgan Stanley

$301,221 Объем

36%

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Goldman Sachs

$229,620 Объем

28%

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Bank of America

$64,449 Объем

21%

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JPMorgan

$77,120 Объем

3%

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Barclays

$62,629 Объем

1%

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Citigroup

$90,054 Объем

<1%

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Deutsche Bank

$299,113 Объем

<1%

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UBS

$68,648 Объем

<1%

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Wells Fargo

$43,239 Объем

<1%

This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of SpaceX. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or SpaceX completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.” If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of SpaceX’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released. The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from SpaceX. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Morgan Stanley a slim 34.5% implied probability as lead bank for SpaceX's anticipated mid-2026 IPO—code-named Project Apex and potentially valuing the company at $1.75 trillion—edging out Goldman Sachs at 28% and Bank of America at 20.5%, reflecting yesterday's report of five active bookrunners including these firms alongside JPMorgan and Citigroup. Morgan Stanley's edge stems from longstanding ties to Elon Musk, including Tesla's 2010 IPO and recent xAI involvement, plus E*Trade's talks to lead retail share distribution. The closely contested odds highlight competitive dynamics among Wall Street giants vying for top billing in this blockbuster space tech debut, with no single "lead left" position and alphabetical listing possible; April investor briefings could clarify roles amid Starlink-driven momentum.

This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of SpaceX.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or SpaceX completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”

If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of SpaceX’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from SpaceX. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$1,236,092
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2027 г.
Открытие рынка
Dec 25, 2025, 1:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of SpaceX. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or SpaceX completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.” If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of SpaceX’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released. The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from SpaceX. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of SpaceX. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or SpaceX completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.” If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of SpaceX’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released. The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from SpaceX. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Morgan Stanley a slim 34.5% implied probability as lead bank for SpaceX's anticipated mid-2026 IPO—code-named Project Apex and potentially valuing the company at $1.75 trillion—edging out Goldman Sachs at 28% and Bank of America at 20.5%, reflecting yesterday's report of five active bookrunners including these firms alongside JPMorgan and Citigroup. Morgan Stanley's edge stems from longstanding ties to Elon Musk, including Tesla's 2010 IPO and recent xAI involvement, plus E*Trade's talks to lead retail share distribution. The closely contested odds highlight competitive dynamics among Wall Street giants vying for top billing in this blockbuster space tech debut, with no single "lead left" position and alphabetical listing possible; April investor briefings could clarify roles amid Starlink-driven momentum.

This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of SpaceX.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or SpaceX completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”

If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of SpaceX’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from SpaceX. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$1,236,092
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2027 г.
Открытие рынка
Dec 25, 2025, 1:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of SpaceX. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or SpaceX completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.” If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of SpaceX’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released. The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from SpaceX. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Ведущий банк в IPO SpaceX?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 9 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Morgan Stanley» с 36%, за ним следует «Goldman Sachs» с 28%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 36¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 36%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Ведущий банк в IPO SpaceX?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $1.2 million с момента запуска рынка Dec 25, 2025. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Ведущий банк в IPO SpaceX?», просмотри 9 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Ведущий банк в IPO SpaceX?» — «Morgan Stanley» с 36%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 36%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Goldman Sachs» с 28%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Ведущий банк в IPO SpaceX?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.