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Kanye blocked from entering the UK by May 31?

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Kanye blocked from entering the UK by May 31?

>99% вероятность
Polymarket

$30,647 Объем

>99% вероятность
Polymarket

$30,647 Объем

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kanye West is formally refused entry into the United Kingdom between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, “refused entry” refers to any formal action by the government of the United Kingdom that bars Kanye West from lawfully entering the United Kingdom. Qualifying actions include, refusing or cancelling a visa for West, issuing an exclusion decision or order against West, or otherwise formally determining that West may not enter the United Kingdom. Actions that do not affect West’s legal ability to enter the United Kingdom, including West voluntarily withdrawing from an upcoming appearance at the Wireless Festival or the Wireless Festival removing West from its lineup, will not alone qualify. A formal public announcement by the government of the United Kingdom, made within this market’s timeframe, that a qualifying action has been taken or will be taken will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of when that action takes effect or any legal challenge it may face. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The UK Home Office's recent withdrawal of Ye's Electronic Travel Authorisation (ETA)—confirmed in reports from BBC and The Guardian—has driven trader consensus to near-certainty on a "Yes" outcome, as the rapper, formerly Kanye West, is officially blocked from entering Britain due to his history of antisemitic remarks deemed not conducive to the public good. This decision, announced just hours ago amid backlash over his planned Wireless Festival headline slot in July, prompted the event's outright cancellation and refunds for ticket holders. With the ban in effect well before May 31, markets reflect overwhelming confidence backed by real capital; realistic upsets would require a rare successful appeal or government reversal, unlikely given stringent UK visa precedents on hate speech.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kanye West is formally refused entry into the United Kingdom between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purposes of this market, “refused entry” refers to any formal action by the government of the United Kingdom that bars Kanye West from lawfully entering the United Kingdom. Qualifying actions include, refusing or cancelling a visa for West, issuing an exclusion decision or order against West, or otherwise formally determining that West may not enter the United Kingdom.

Actions that do not affect West’s legal ability to enter the United Kingdom, including West voluntarily withdrawing from an upcoming appearance at the Wireless Festival or the Wireless Festival removing West from its lineup, will not alone qualify.

A formal public announcement by the government of the United Kingdom, made within this market’s timeframe, that a qualifying action has been taken or will be taken will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of when that action takes effect or any legal challenge it may face.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$30,647
Дата окончания
31 мая 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 6, 2026, 5:28 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kanye West is formally refused entry into the United Kingdom between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, “refused entry” refers to any formal action by the government of the United Kingdom that bars Kanye West from lawfully entering the United Kingdom. Qualifying actions include, refusing or cancelling a visa for West, issuing an exclusion decision or order against West, or otherwise formally determining that West may not enter the United Kingdom. Actions that do not affect West’s legal ability to enter the United Kingdom, including West voluntarily withdrawing from an upcoming appearance at the Wireless Festival or the Wireless Festival removing West from its lineup, will not alone qualify. A formal public announcement by the government of the United Kingdom, made within this market’s timeframe, that a qualifying action has been taken or will be taken will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of when that action takes effect or any legal challenge it may face. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Предложенный исход: Yes

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Yes

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kanye West is formally refused entry into the United Kingdom between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, “refused entry” refers to any formal action by the government of the United Kingdom that bars Kanye West from lawfully entering the United Kingdom. Qualifying actions include, refusing or cancelling a visa for West, issuing an exclusion decision or order against West, or otherwise formally determining that West may not enter the United Kingdom. Actions that do not affect West’s legal ability to enter the United Kingdom, including West voluntarily withdrawing from an upcoming appearance at the Wireless Festival or the Wireless Festival removing West from its lineup, will not alone qualify. A formal public announcement by the government of the United Kingdom, made within this market’s timeframe, that a qualifying action has been taken or will be taken will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of when that action takes effect or any legal challenge it may face. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The UK Home Office's recent withdrawal of Ye's Electronic Travel Authorisation (ETA)—confirmed in reports from BBC and The Guardian—has driven trader consensus to near-certainty on a "Yes" outcome, as the rapper, formerly Kanye West, is officially blocked from entering Britain due to his history of antisemitic remarks deemed not conducive to the public good. This decision, announced just hours ago amid backlash over his planned Wireless Festival headline slot in July, prompted the event's outright cancellation and refunds for ticket holders. With the ban in effect well before May 31, markets reflect overwhelming confidence backed by real capital; realistic upsets would require a rare successful appeal or government reversal, unlikely given stringent UK visa precedents on hate speech.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kanye West is formally refused entry into the United Kingdom between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purposes of this market, “refused entry” refers to any formal action by the government of the United Kingdom that bars Kanye West from lawfully entering the United Kingdom. Qualifying actions include, refusing or cancelling a visa for West, issuing an exclusion decision or order against West, or otherwise formally determining that West may not enter the United Kingdom.

Actions that do not affect West’s legal ability to enter the United Kingdom, including West voluntarily withdrawing from an upcoming appearance at the Wireless Festival or the Wireless Festival removing West from its lineup, will not alone qualify.

A formal public announcement by the government of the United Kingdom, made within this market’s timeframe, that a qualifying action has been taken or will be taken will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of when that action takes effect or any legal challenge it may face.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$30,647
Дата окончания
31 мая 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 6, 2026, 5:28 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kanye West is formally refused entry into the United Kingdom between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, “refused entry” refers to any formal action by the government of the United Kingdom that bars Kanye West from lawfully entering the United Kingdom. Qualifying actions include, refusing or cancelling a visa for West, issuing an exclusion decision or order against West, or otherwise formally determining that West may not enter the United Kingdom. Actions that do not affect West’s legal ability to enter the United Kingdom, including West voluntarily withdrawing from an upcoming appearance at the Wireless Festival or the Wireless Festival removing West from its lineup, will not alone qualify. A formal public announcement by the government of the United Kingdom, made within this market’s timeframe, that a qualifying action has been taken or will be taken will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of when that action takes effect or any legal challenge it may face. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Предложенный исход: Yes

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Yes

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Kanye blocked from entering the UK by May 31?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции «Да» или «Нет» в зависимости от того, верят ли они, что это событие произойдёт. Текущая вероятность по мнению сообщества составляет 100% для «Yes». Например, если «Да» торгуется по 100¢, рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность наступления события в 100%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются по мере реакции трейдеров на новые события и информацию. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Kanye blocked from entering the UK by May 31?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $30.6K с момента запуска рынка Apr 6, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Kanye blocked from entering the UK by May 31?», просто выбери, считаешь ли ты, что ответ — «Да» или «Нет». Каждая сторона имеет текущую цену, отражающую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если ты купишь акции «Да» и исход разрешится как «Да», каждая акция принесёт $1. Если исход — «Нет», твои акции «Да» принесут $0. Ты также можешь продать свои акции в любой момент до разрешения, чтобы зафиксировать прибыль или ограничить убыток.

Текущая вероятность для «Kanye blocked from entering the UK by May 31?» составляет 100% для «Yes». Это означает, что сообщество Polymarket в настоящее время оценивает вероятность наступления этого события в 100%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени на основе реальных сделок, предоставляя постоянно обновляемый сигнал ожиданий рынка.

Правила разрешения «Kanye blocked from entering the UK by May 31?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.