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Мир·Израиль

Израильский парламент распущен...?

Market icon
Мир·Израиль

Израильский парламент распущен...?

$848,527 Объем

Dec 31, 2025
Polymarket

$848,527 Объем

Polymarket

31 марта

$655,107 Объем

<1%

30 июня

$110,111 Объем

26%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between September 20 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between January 27 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between September 3 and October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between September 20 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Israel's Knesset remains intact under Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's coalition, holding a slim 64-seat majority amid escalating internal pressures that fuel speculation on early dissolution. In the past 30 days, opposition-led no-confidence motions against the government failed in late November 2024, while haredi parties like United Torah Judaism and Shas reiterated threats to bolt over stalled ultra-Orthodox military draft exemptions and budget disputes tied to the Gaza war. Multiple snap election bills tabled by figures like Yair Lapid seek polls by March 2025 but lack the 61 MK votes required, blocked by coalition unity. Upcoming winter session votes on dissolution proposals and the draft bill could tip the balance toward collapse or stability.

Israel's Knesset remains intact under Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's coalition, holding a slim 64-seat majority amid escalating internal pressures that fuel speculation on early dissolution. In the past 30 days, opposition-led no-confidence motions against the government failed in late November 2024, while haredi parties like United Torah Judaism and Shas reiterated threats to bolt over stalled ultra-Orthodox military draft exemptions and budget disputes tied to the Gaza war. Multiple snap election bills tabled by figures like Yair Lapid seek polls by March 2025 but lack the 61 MK votes required, blocked by coalition unity. Upcoming winter session votes on dissolution proposals and the draft bill could tip the balance toward collapse or stability.

Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between September 20 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between January 27 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between September 3 and October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between September 20 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Israel's Knesset remains intact under Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's coalition, holding a slim 64-seat majority amid escalating internal pressures that fuel speculation on early dissolution. In the past 30 days, opposition-led no-confidence motions against the government failed in late November 2024, while haredi parties like United Torah Judaism and Shas reiterated threats to bolt over stalled ultra-Orthodox military draft exemptions and budget disputes tied to the Gaza war. Multiple snap election bills tabled by figures like Yair Lapid seek polls by March 2025 but lack the 61 MK votes required, blocked by coalition unity. Upcoming winter session votes on dissolution proposals and the draft bill could tip the balance toward collapse or stability.

Israel's Knesset remains intact under Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's coalition, holding a slim 64-seat majority amid escalating internal pressures that fuel speculation on early dissolution. In the past 30 days, opposition-led no-confidence motions against the government failed in late November 2024, while haredi parties like United Torah Judaism and Shas reiterated threats to bolt over stalled ultra-Orthodox military draft exemptions and budget disputes tied to the Gaza war. Multiple snap election bills tabled by figures like Yair Lapid seek polls by March 2025 but lack the 61 MK votes required, blocked by coalition unity. Upcoming winter session votes on dissolution proposals and the draft bill could tip the balance toward collapse or stability.

Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Израильский парламент распущен...?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 4 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «30 июня» с 26%, за ним следует «31 марта» с 0%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 26¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 26%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Израильский парламент распущен...?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $848.5K с момента запуска рынка Sep 3, 2025. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Израильский парламент распущен...?», просмотри 4 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Израильский парламент распущен...?» — «30 июня» с 26%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 26%. Следующий ближайший исход — «31 марта» с 0%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Израильский парламент распущен...?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.