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Iran ballistic missile strike on Israel by Friday?

Market icon

Iran ballistic missile strike on Israel by Friday?

>99% вероятность
Polymarket

$189,841 Объем

>99% вероятность
Polymarket

$189,841 Объем

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran conducts a ballistic missile strike on Israeli soil by June 13, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of a ballistic missile launched by Iranian military forces that impacts ground territory internationally recognized as part of Israel. A ballistic missile is defined as a projectile that is powered during launch and follows a ballistic trajectory under the force of gravity for the majority of its flight. Cruise missiles, rockets, drones (including loitering munitions, kamikaze drones, FPVs, and other UAVs), and artillery do not count. Ballistic missiles that are intercepted or fail to impact Israeli soil will not qualify. Bombings, cyberattacks, ground incursions, or any other indirect methods of attack will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran conducts a ballistic missile strike on Israeli soil by June 13, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of a ballistic missile launched by Iranian military forces that impacts ground territory internationally recognized as part of Israel. A ballistic missile is defined as a projectile that is powered during launch and follows a ballistic trajectory under the force of gravity for the majority of its flight.

Cruise missiles, rockets, drones (including loitering munitions, kamikaze drones, FPVs, and other UAVs), and artillery do not count. Ballistic missiles that are intercepted or fail to impact Israeli soil will not qualify. Bombings, cyberattacks, ground incursions, or any other indirect methods of attack will not qualify.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$189,841
Дата окончания
14 июн. 2025 г.
Открытие рынка
Jun 13, 2025, 3:57 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran conducts a ballistic missile strike on Israeli soil by June 13, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of a ballistic missile launched by Iranian military forces that impacts ground territory internationally recognized as part of Israel. A ballistic missile is defined as a projectile that is powered during launch and follows a ballistic trajectory under the force of gravity for the majority of its flight. Cruise missiles, rockets, drones (including loitering munitions, kamikaze drones, FPVs, and other UAVs), and artillery do not count. Ballistic missiles that are intercepted or fail to impact Israeli soil will not qualify. Bombings, cyberattacks, ground incursions, or any other indirect methods of attack will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Предложенный исход: Yes

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran conducts a ballistic missile strike on Israeli soil by June 13, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of a ballistic missile launched by Iranian military forces that impacts ground territory internationally recognized as part of Israel. A ballistic missile is defined as a projectile that is powered during launch and follows a ballistic trajectory under the force of gravity for the majority of its flight. Cruise missiles, rockets, drones (including loitering munitions, kamikaze drones, FPVs, and other UAVs), and artillery do not count. Ballistic missiles that are intercepted or fail to impact Israeli soil will not qualify. Bombings, cyberattacks, ground incursions, or any other indirect methods of attack will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran conducts a ballistic missile strike on Israeli soil by June 13, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of a ballistic missile launched by Iranian military forces that impacts ground territory internationally recognized as part of Israel. A ballistic missile is defined as a projectile that is powered during launch and follows a ballistic trajectory under the force of gravity for the majority of its flight.

Cruise missiles, rockets, drones (including loitering munitions, kamikaze drones, FPVs, and other UAVs), and artillery do not count. Ballistic missiles that are intercepted or fail to impact Israeli soil will not qualify. Bombings, cyberattacks, ground incursions, or any other indirect methods of attack will not qualify.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$189,841
Дата окончания
14 июн. 2025 г.
Открытие рынка
Jun 13, 2025, 3:57 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran conducts a ballistic missile strike on Israeli soil by June 13, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of a ballistic missile launched by Iranian military forces that impacts ground territory internationally recognized as part of Israel. A ballistic missile is defined as a projectile that is powered during launch and follows a ballistic trajectory under the force of gravity for the majority of its flight. Cruise missiles, rockets, drones (including loitering munitions, kamikaze drones, FPVs, and other UAVs), and artillery do not count. Ballistic missiles that are intercepted or fail to impact Israeli soil will not qualify. Bombings, cyberattacks, ground incursions, or any other indirect methods of attack will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Предложенный исход: Yes

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Yes

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Iran ballistic missile strike on Israel by Friday? » — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции «Да» или «Нет» в зависимости от того, верят ли они, что это событие произойдёт. Текущая вероятность по мнению сообщества составляет 100% для «Yes». Например, если «Да» торгуется по 100¢, рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность наступления события в 100%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются по мере реакции трейдеров на новые события и информацию. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Iran ballistic missile strike on Israel by Friday? » сгенерировал общий объём торгов $189.8K с момента запуска рынка Jun 13, 2025. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Iran ballistic missile strike on Israel by Friday? », просто выбери, считаешь ли ты, что ответ — «Да» или «Нет». Каждая сторона имеет текущую цену, отражающую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если ты купишь акции «Да» и исход разрешится как «Да», каждая акция принесёт $1. Если исход — «Нет», твои акции «Да» принесут $0. Ты также можешь продать свои акции в любой момент до разрешения, чтобы зафиксировать прибыль или ограничить убыток.

Текущая вероятность для «Iran ballistic missile strike on Israel by Friday? » составляет 100% для «Yes». Это означает, что сообщество Polymarket в настоящее время оценивает вероятность наступления этого события в 100%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени на основе реальных сделок, предоставляя постоянно обновляемый сигнал ожиданий рынка.

Правила разрешения «Iran ballistic missile strike on Israel by Friday? » точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.