Trader consensus in the Iowa Democratic U.S. Senate primary favors state Rep. Josh Turek at 60.5% implied probability over state Sen. Zach Wahls at 38%, reflecting national Democrats' preference for Turek's electability in the open-seat race vacated by retiring Sen. Joni Ernst ahead of the June 2 primary. Recent catalysts include VoteVets launching an $825,000 ad campaign—the first super PAC intervention—backing Turek, a Paralympic veteran, alongside endorsements from Sens. Maggie Hassan and Catherine Cortez Masto. Republicans tied to Rep. Ashley Hinson have boosted Wahls via circulated polls, potentially signaling his general-election vulnerability and consolidating primary support for Turek, while Sen. Elizabeth Warren endorsed Wahls. Minor candidates Chris Henry and Nathan Sage trail with negligible backing.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоДжош Турек 61%
Зак Уолз 38%
Крис Генри 2.4%
Натан Сейдж 2.1%
$10,126 Объем
$10,126 Объем
Джош Турек
61%
Зак Уолз
38%
Крис Генри
2%
Натан Сейдж
2%
Джош Турек 61%
Зак Уолз 38%
Крис Генри 2.4%
Натан Сейдж 2.1%
$10,126 Объем
$10,126 Объем
Джош Турек
61%
Зак Уолз
38%
Крис Генри
2%
Натан Сейдж
2%
If no 2026 Iowa Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Iowa Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Открытие рынка: Nov 13, 2025, 2:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Iowa Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Iowa Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus in the Iowa Democratic U.S. Senate primary favors state Rep. Josh Turek at 60.5% implied probability over state Sen. Zach Wahls at 38%, reflecting national Democrats' preference for Turek's electability in the open-seat race vacated by retiring Sen. Joni Ernst ahead of the June 2 primary. Recent catalysts include VoteVets launching an $825,000 ad campaign—the first super PAC intervention—backing Turek, a Paralympic veteran, alongside endorsements from Sens. Maggie Hassan and Catherine Cortez Masto. Republicans tied to Rep. Ashley Hinson have boosted Wahls via circulated polls, potentially signaling his general-election vulnerability and consolidating primary support for Turek, while Sen. Elizabeth Warren endorsed Wahls. Minor candidates Chris Henry and Nathan Sage trail with negligible backing.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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