Israeli airstrikes targeting Hezbollah positions in southern Lebanon have intensified over the past week in retaliation for near-daily rocket barrages, alongside repeated strikes on Iranian-linked sites in Syria amid drone incursions, confirming attacks in those two countries through late March. A March 31 airstrike on Houthi facilities in Yemen's Hudaydah port—responding to missile threats against Israeli territory—has driven trader consensus toward exactly three countries at 57%, reflecting the wisdom of crowds in this proxy conflict escalation. The 41% on ≥4 accounts for uncertainty around potential further targets like Iran, though no direct strikes there have materialized this month, with diplomatic tensions and U.S. restraint signals tempering broader expansion risks before March ends.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоСколько разных стран ударит Израиль в марте?
Сколько разных стран ударит Израиль в марте?
$262,688 Объем
$262,688 Объем
3
57%
≥4
41%
$262,688 Объем
$262,688 Объем
3
57%
≥4
41%
Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country where the embassy or consulate is located, not towards the country they represent.
Strikes within the territory controlled by Israel as of market creation, as well as strikes within the West Bank or the Gaza Strip, will not be counted towards this market's resolution.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the Israeli government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Feb 26, 2026, 6:04 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Israeli airstrikes targeting Hezbollah positions in southern Lebanon have intensified over the past week in retaliation for near-daily rocket barrages, alongside repeated strikes on Iranian-linked sites in Syria amid drone incursions, confirming attacks in those two countries through late March. A March 31 airstrike on Houthi facilities in Yemen's Hudaydah port—responding to missile threats against Israeli territory—has driven trader consensus toward exactly three countries at 57%, reflecting the wisdom of crowds in this proxy conflict escalation. The 41% on ≥4 accounts for uncertainty around potential further targets like Iran, though no direct strikes there have materialized this month, with diplomatic tensions and U.S. restraint signals tempering broader expansion risks before March ends.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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