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How long will Trump and Xi shake hands on Thursday?

Market icon

How long will Trump and Xi shake hands on Thursday?

10s+ 100.0%

No Handshake <1%

<2s <1%

2–6s <1%

Polymarket

$700,137 Объем

10s+ 100.0%

No Handshake <1%

<2s <1%

2–6s <1%

Polymarket

$700,137 Объем

No Handshake

$159,462 Объем

No

<2s

$107,144 Объем

No

2–6s

$111,439 Объем

No

6–10s

$182,846 Объем

No

10s+

$139,246 Объем

Yes

This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping on Thursday, October 30, 2025, KST. Any handshake recorded during that date (KST) will qualify.

If no handshake occurs on October 30, 2025 (KST), or no meeting takes place by October 30, 2025, 11:59 PM KST, this market will resolve to “No Handshake.”

Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.

If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.

Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without measurable duration.

The primary resolution source will be publicly available video footage from credible media outlets or official recordings.
Объем
$700,137
Дата окончания
Oct 30, 2025
Открытие рынка
Oct 27, 2025, 1:23 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping on Thursday, October 30, 2025, KST. Any handshake recorded during that date (KST) will qualify. If no handshake occurs on October 30, 2025 (KST), or no meeting takes place by October 30, 2025, 11:59 PM KST, this market will resolve to “No Handshake.” Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact. If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. Qualifying Requirements: The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person. Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens permitted). The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish. Non-qualifying examples: Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings. Any handshake too unclear to measure. Only photographic evidence exists without measurable duration. The primary resolution source will be publicly available video footage from credible media outlets or official recordings.

Предложенный исход: No

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: No

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Frequently Asked Questions

"How long will Trump and Xi shake hands on Thursday?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "10s+" at 100%, followed by "No Handshake" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "How long will Trump and Xi shake hands on Thursday?" has generated $700.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 27, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "How long will Trump and Xi shake hands on Thursday?," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "How long will Trump and Xi shake hands on Thursday?" is "10s+" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "No Handshake" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "How long will Trump and Xi shake hands on Thursday?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.