Erdoğan's current presidential term runs through 2028 under Turkey's constitutional framework, with the next scheduled election no earlier than May 2028 and no formal removal process active before the end of 2026. Recent appeals court rulings in May 2026 that annulled the main opposition CHP leadership and triggered protests have further consolidated institutional control while limiting organized resistance ahead of that timeline. Ruling party statements have reaffirmed plans to hold elections as scheduled despite economic pressures and opposition calls for an earlier vote. Trader consensus on the high probability of continuation reflects these structural and recent political barriers, though developments such as health-related incapacity, a snap election, or constitutional amendments could still shift the outlook.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоЭрдоган выйдет до 31 декабря 2026 года?
Эрдоган выйдет до 31 декабря 2026 года?
Да
$440,227 Объем
$440,227 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Заработай 4 %
Да
$440,227 Объем
$440,227 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Заработай 4 %
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Erdoğan's current presidential term runs through 2028 under Turkey's constitutional framework, with the next scheduled election no earlier than May 2028 and no formal removal process active before the end of 2026. Recent appeals court rulings in May 2026 that annulled the main opposition CHP leadership and triggered protests have further consolidated institutional control while limiting organized resistance ahead of that timeline. Ruling party statements have reaffirmed plans to hold elections as scheduled despite economic pressures and opposition calls for an earlier vote. Trader consensus on the high probability of continuation reflects these structural and recent political barriers, though developments such as health-related incapacity, a snap election, or constitutional amendments could still shift the outlook.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Объем
$440,227Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Erdoğan's current presidential term runs through 2028 under Turkey's constitutional framework, with the next scheduled election no earlier than May 2028 and no formal removal process active before the end of 2026. Recent appeals court rulings in May 2026 that annulled the main opposition CHP leadership and triggered protests have further consolidated institutional control while limiting organized resistance ahead of that timeline. Ruling party statements have reaffirmed plans to hold elections as scheduled despite economic pressures and opposition calls for an earlier vote. Trader consensus on the high probability of continuation reflects these structural and recent political barriers, though developments such as health-related incapacity, a snap election, or constitutional amendments could still shift the outlook.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$440,227Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Erdoğan's current presidential term runs through 2028 under Turkey's constitutional framework, with the next scheduled election no earlier than May 2028 and no formal removal process active before the end of 2026. Recent appeals court rulings in May 2026 that annulled the main opposition CHP leadership and triggered protests have further consolidated institutional control while limiting organized resistance ahead of that timeline. Ruling party statements have reaffirmed plans to hold elections as scheduled despite economic pressures and opposition calls for an earlier vote. Trader consensus on the high probability of continuation reflects these structural and recent political barriers, though developments such as health-related incapacity, a snap election, or constitutional amendments could still shift the outlook.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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