Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's constitutional term as incumbent extends through the next scheduled presidential election no later than May 2028, driving trader consensus to 83.5% against his exit by December 31, 2026. Unconfirmed health rumors in January-February 2026, including speculation of poor condition at age 71, have dissipated without official announcements or visible incapacity. Recent opposition calls for snap elections or parliamentary coalitions—echoed in late March social media from military insiders and multi-party talks—lack majority support or procedural momentum in Turkey's presidential system. Talks of constitutional amendments to enable another Erdoğan run further signal continuity, with no verified catalysts like impeachment, no-confidence votes, or resignations altering the timeline.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоЭрдоган выйдет до 31 декабря 2026 года?
Эрдоган выйдет до 31 декабря 2026 года?
Да
$322,639 Объем
$322,639 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Заработай 4 %
Да
$322,639 Объем
$322,639 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Заработай 4 %
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's constitutional term as incumbent extends through the next scheduled presidential election no later than May 2028, driving trader consensus to 83.5% against his exit by December 31, 2026. Unconfirmed health rumors in January-February 2026, including speculation of poor condition at age 71, have dissipated without official announcements or visible incapacity. Recent opposition calls for snap elections or parliamentary coalitions—echoed in late March social media from military insiders and multi-party talks—lack majority support or procedural momentum in Turkey's presidential system. Talks of constitutional amendments to enable another Erdoğan run further signal continuity, with no verified catalysts like impeachment, no-confidence votes, or resignations altering the timeline.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Объем
$322,639Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's constitutional term as incumbent extends through the next scheduled presidential election no later than May 2028, driving trader consensus to 83.5% against his exit by December 31, 2026. Unconfirmed health rumors in January-February 2026, including speculation of poor condition at age 71, have dissipated without official announcements or visible incapacity. Recent opposition calls for snap elections or parliamentary coalitions—echoed in late March social media from military insiders and multi-party talks—lack majority support or procedural momentum in Turkey's presidential system. Talks of constitutional amendments to enable another Erdoğan run further signal continuity, with no verified catalysts like impeachment, no-confidence votes, or resignations altering the timeline.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$322,639Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's constitutional term as incumbent extends through the next scheduled presidential election no later than May 2028, driving trader consensus to 83.5% against his exit by December 31, 2026. Unconfirmed health rumors in January-February 2026, including speculation of poor condition at age 71, have dissipated without official announcements or visible incapacity. Recent opposition calls for snap elections or parliamentary coalitions—echoed in late March social media from military insiders and multi-party talks—lack majority support or procedural momentum in Turkey's presidential system. Talks of constitutional amendments to enable another Erdoğan run further signal continuity, with no verified catalysts like impeachment, no-confidence votes, or resignations altering the timeline.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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