President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's constitutionally mandated term as Turkey's president extends until 2028, anchoring trader consensus at 89.5% against his departure by year-end 2026, with no snap election called despite CHP's early April push to force early polls amid ongoing protests. Recent public appearances, including his April 29 rejection of criticism over Kurdish peace efforts and April 17 Antalya Diplomacy Forum address, signal continued vigor, countering earlier unconfirmed health rumors from February. Succession debates and cabinet reshuffles point to a controlled 2028 transition rather than abrupt exit, though opposition momentum, economic pressures, or health developments could shift odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоЭрдоган выйдет до 31 декабря 2026 года?
Эрдоган выйдет до 31 декабря 2026 года?
Да
$348,914 Объем
$348,914 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Заработай 4 %
Да
$348,914 Объем
$348,914 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Заработай 4 %
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's constitutionally mandated term as Turkey's president extends until 2028, anchoring trader consensus at 89.5% against his departure by year-end 2026, with no snap election called despite CHP's early April push to force early polls amid ongoing protests. Recent public appearances, including his April 29 rejection of criticism over Kurdish peace efforts and April 17 Antalya Diplomacy Forum address, signal continued vigor, countering earlier unconfirmed health rumors from February. Succession debates and cabinet reshuffles point to a controlled 2028 transition rather than abrupt exit, though opposition momentum, economic pressures, or health developments could shift odds.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Объем
$348,914Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's constitutionally mandated term as Turkey's president extends until 2028, anchoring trader consensus at 89.5% against his departure by year-end 2026, with no snap election called despite CHP's early April push to force early polls amid ongoing protests. Recent public appearances, including his April 29 rejection of criticism over Kurdish peace efforts and April 17 Antalya Diplomacy Forum address, signal continued vigor, countering earlier unconfirmed health rumors from February. Succession debates and cabinet reshuffles point to a controlled 2028 transition rather than abrupt exit, though opposition momentum, economic pressures, or health developments could shift odds.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$348,914Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's constitutionally mandated term as Turkey's president extends until 2028, anchoring trader consensus at 89.5% against his departure by year-end 2026, with no snap election called despite CHP's early April push to force early polls amid ongoing protests. Recent public appearances, including his April 29 rejection of criticism over Kurdish peace efforts and April 17 Antalya Diplomacy Forum address, signal continued vigor, countering earlier unconfirmed health rumors from February. Succession debates and cabinet reshuffles point to a controlled 2028 transition rather than abrupt exit, though opposition momentum, economic pressures, or health developments could shift odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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