Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around Elon Musk posting 220-299 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026, with leading ranges at 12-12.5% implied probabilities, mirroring his recent steady cadence of 20-30 daily posts during March 24-30—equating to roughly 27 per day per XTracker data. This tight contest highlights competitive dynamics from Musk's variable X habits, which historically surge on Tesla or SpaceX news but stabilize without viral catalysts, as seen in prior weekly markets favoring 300+ during busier periods. Differentiators include potential boosts from early April Cybercab production ramps or investor briefings, versus quieter days amid executive demands; daily activity will sharpen the frontrunner amid pop culture's unpredictable social media pulses.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено240-259 13%
280-299 13%
220-239 12%
260-279 12%
$2,579,418 Объем
$2,579,418 Объем
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100–119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140–159
1%
160-179
2%
180-199
4%
200–219
6%
220-239
12%
240-259
13%
260-279
12%
280-299
13%
300-319
11%
320-339
10%
340–359
8%
360-379
5%
380-399
3%
400-419
3%
420-439
2%
440-459
1%
460-479
1%
480-499
1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
240-259 13%
280-299 13%
220-239 12%
260-279 12%
$2,579,418 Объем
$2,579,418 Объем
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100–119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140–159
1%
160-179
2%
180-199
4%
200–219
6%
220-239
12%
240-259
13%
260-279
12%
280-299
13%
300-319
11%
320-339
10%
340–359
8%
360-379
5%
380-399
3%
400-419
3%
420-439
2%
440-459
1%
460-479
1%
480-499
1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Открытие рынка: Mar 28, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around Elon Musk posting 220-299 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026, with leading ranges at 12-12.5% implied probabilities, mirroring his recent steady cadence of 20-30 daily posts during March 24-30—equating to roughly 27 per day per XTracker data. This tight contest highlights competitive dynamics from Musk's variable X habits, which historically surge on Tesla or SpaceX news but stabilize without viral catalysts, as seen in prior weekly markets favoring 300+ during busier periods. Differentiators include potential boosts from early April Cybercab production ramps or investor briefings, versus quieter days amid executive demands; daily activity will sharpen the frontrunner amid pop culture's unpredictable social media pulses.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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