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Voto Popular previsões e probabilidades

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2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

17%

Democrats 8-10%

$46.2K Vol.

$284K Liq.

Ends em 5 meses

NZ Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?

NZ Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?

42%

National 5-10%

$0 Vol.

$5.5K Liq.

Ends em 5 meses

Switzerland’s June Referendum: What will pass?

Switzerland’s June Referendum: What will pass?

70%

Civilian Service Act

$192K Vol.

$32.8K Liq.

Ends em 15 dias

Peru Election 2nd Round: Margin of Victory?

Peru Election 2nd Round: Margin of Victory?

38%

Fujimori 0–4%

$58.5K Vol.

$148K Liq.

Ends em 8 dias

SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?

SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?

76%

$40.3K Vol.

$6.1K Liq.

Ends em 2 meses

Andalusia Election: PP Absolute Majority?

Andalusia Election: PP Absolute Majority?

<1%

$26.6K Vol.

$2.5K Liq.

8

Ends há 13 dias

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

32%

Lula da Silva <5%

$237K Vol.

$99.1K Liq.

14

Ends em 4 meses

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

17%

June 30

$164K Vol.

$22.9K Liq.

10

Malta Parliamentary Election: Margin of Victory

Malta Parliamentary Election: Margin of Victory

47%

Labour Party 5-10%

$22.3K Vol.

$16.3K Liq.

Ends há cerca de 10 horas

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

83%

$2.8K Vol.

$1.7K Liq.

2

Ends em 5 meses

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

94%

$2.3K Vol.

$12.3K Liq.

2

Ends em 5 meses

NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)

NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)

48%

Labour

$64 Vol.

$162 Liq.

Ends em 5 meses

Peru Senate Election Winner

Peru Senate Election Winner

100%

FP

$101K Vol.

$55.5K Liq.

6

Ends há cerca de 2 meses

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

18%

JD Vance

$608M Vol.

$1M today

$33M Liq.

947

Ends em mais de 2 anos

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

46%

Democrats Sweep

$7M Vol.

$806K Liq.

200

Ends em 5 meses

Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory

Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory

100%

Paxton 9%+

$250K Vol.

$138K Liq.

1

Ends há 5 dias

UK election called by...?

UK election called by...?

6%

December 31, 2026

$772K Vol.

$11.3K Liq.

14

Ends há 5 meses

Andalusia Election: PP # of seats?

Andalusia Election: PP # of seats?

91%

53-55

$28.6K Vol.

$22.2K Liq.

3

Ends há 13 dias

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

60%

Democratic

$2M Vol.

$553K Liq.

75

Ends em mais de 2 anos

Colombia Election 1st Round: Margin of Victory?

Colombia Election 1st Round: Margin of Victory?

30%

Cepeda Castro 5-10%

$77.5K Vol.

$130K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 14 horas

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Voto Popular.

Polymarket currently hosts 103 active markets for Voto Popular that lets you track or trade on predictions like “2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $619.2M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Andalusia Election: PP Absolute Majority?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Presidential Election Winner 2028,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Presidential Election Winner 2028,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 18% chance to JD Vance. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Voto Popular predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.