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InteligêNcia previsões e probabilidades

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FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?

FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?

97%

$38.8K Vol.

$12.2K Liq.

Ends há 6 dias

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

11%

$67.9K Vol.

$6.7K Liq.

11

Ends em 8 meses

Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?

Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?

18%

$31.1K Vol.

$23.2K Liq.

1

Ends em 25 dias

Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?

Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?

45%

$555K Vol.

$37.5K Liq.

143

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

8%

May 31

$824K Vol.

$25.9K Liq.

45

Ends em 25 dias

US forces enter Venezuela again by...?

US forces enter Venezuela again by...?

7%

June 30

$1M Vol.

$19.1K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Which AI company will have the second-highest revenue May 4-10?

Which AI company will have the second-highest revenue May 4-10?

97%

OpenAI

$16.6K Vol.

$19.3K Liq.

Ends em 4 dias

US strike on Colombia by...?

US strike on Colombia by...?

17%

December 31

$2M Vol.

$22.1K Liq.

43

Ends há 3 meses

US military action against Cuba by...?

US military action against Cuba by...?

37%

December 31

$3M Vol.

$136K Liq.

56

Ends em 8 meses

US strike on Mexico by...?

US strike on Mexico by...?

14%

December 31

$3M Vol.

$23.9K Liq.

163

Ends em 8 meses

Major US official out by May 31?

Major US official out by May 31?

30%

$4.4K Vol.

$5.4K Liq.

1

Ends em 25 dias

Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by...?

Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by...?

36%

June 30

$129K Vol.

$34.9K Liq.

6

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?

Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?

9%

$50.0K Vol.

$15.4K Liq.

2

Ends em 8 meses

NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by...?

NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by...?

3%

June 30, 2026

$280K Vol.

$16.5K Liq.

16

Ends há 4 meses

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

35%

Tulsi Gabbard

$10.5K Vol.

$37.3K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Another US strike on Venezuela by...?

Another US strike on Venezuela by...?

11%

December 31

$3M Vol.

$11.8K Liq.

57

Ends há 3 meses

How many more people leave the Trump cabinet this year?

How many more people leave the Trump cabinet this year?

32%

2

$2.8K Vol.

$57.2K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31?

Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31?

10%

$2.8K Vol.

$12.9K Liq.

Ends em 25 dias

Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?

Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?

14%

$8.6K Vol.

$12.2K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Israel false flag attack confirmed?

Israel false flag attack confirmed?

-

$1 Vol.

$141 Liq.

Ends há 6 dias

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like InteligêNcia.

Polymarket currently hosts 154 active markets for InteligêNcia that lets you track or trade on predictions like “FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $13.9M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “US strike on Mexico by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “US strike on Mexico by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 14% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on InteligêNcia predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.