Will any country leave NATO by...?

Will any country leave NATO by...?

11%

December 31, 2026

$696K Vol.

$149K Liq.

24

Ends em 9 meses

Will Russia invade a NATO country by...?

Will Russia invade a NATO country by...?

4%

June 30, 2026

$4M Vol.

$63.3K Liq.

56

Ends há 3 meses

EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by...?

EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by...?

97%

June 30

$127K Vol.

$23.6K Liq.

Ends em 9 meses

Will Russia invade another country in 2026?

Will Russia invade another country in 2026?

14%

$57.0K Vol.

$38.1K Liq.

10

Ends em 9 meses

X banned in any European country by December 31?

X banned in any European country by December 31?

20%

$2.2K Vol.

$8.9K Liq.

Ends em 9 meses

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

8%

$104K Vol.

$14.0K Liq.

11

Ends em 3 meses

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by June 30?

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by June 30?

20%

$4.4K Vol.

$17.9K Liq.

Ends em 3 meses

Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?

Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?

20%

$1.2K Vol.

$9.1K Liq.

Ends em 9 meses

Another EU country restricts U.S. military aircraft by April 30?

Another EU country restricts U.S. military aircraft by April 30?

22%

$3.0K Vol.

$7.1K Liq.

Ends em 22 dias

Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?

Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?

12%

$1.8K Vol.

$12.4K Liq.

Ends em 3 meses

Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?

Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?

24%

$199K Vol.

$36.9K Liq.

15

Ends em 9 meses

Will a new country buy Bitcoin by...?

Will a new country buy Bitcoin by...?

51%

December 31, 2026

$29.3K Vol.

$1.9K Liq.

24

Ends em 9 meses

Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?

Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?

15%

$1.0K Vol.

$11.2K Liq.

1

Ends em 3 meses

Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

28%

Kuwait

$369K Vol.

$65.8K Liq.

Ends em 9 meses

Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?

Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?

7%

$111K Vol.

$50.3K Liq.

12

Ends em 9 meses

Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?

Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?

31%

$5.6K Vol.

$3.8K Liq.

Ends em 9 meses

Which countries will conduct military action against Iran by April 30?

Which countries will conduct military action against Iran by April 30?

22%

UAE

$1M Vol.

$160K today

$233K Liq.

Ends em 22 dias

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

40%

No Meeting by June 30

$679K Vol.

$90.2K today

$169K Liq.

13

Ends em 3 meses

How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?

How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?

34%

7

$764K Vol.

$105K Liq.

23

Ends em 9 meses

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

35%

4

$6M Vol.

$180K Liq.

Ends em 9 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like PolíTicas Do PaíS.

Polymarket currently hosts 151 active markets for PolíTicas Do PaíS that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will any country leave NATO by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $14.7M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 35% chance to 4. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on PolíTicas Do PaíS predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.