Market icon
Economia·Parcl·

Asked by

Parcl image

Parcl

Qual será o valor médio da casa na área metropolitana de DC no dia 1 de abril?

Market icon
Economia·Parcl·

Asked by

Parcl image

Parcl

Qual será o valor médio da casa na área metropolitana de DC no dia 1 de abril?

548 - 554 mil 49.5%

542 - 548 mil 31.3%

530 - 536 mil 10%

536 - 542 mil 9%

Polymarket

$10,152 Vol.

548 - 554 mil 49.5%

542 - 548 mil 31.3%

530 - 536 mil 10%

536 - 542 mil 9%

Polymarket

$10,152 Vol.

<518k

$381 Vol.

1%

518 - 524 mil

$391 Vol.

7%

524 - 530 mil

$0 Vol.

3%

530 - 536 mil

$387 Vol.

12%

536 - 542 mil

$900 Vol.

9%

542 - 548 mil

$6,949 Vol.

21%

548 - 554 mil

$680 Vol.

50%

>554 mil

$465 Vol.

8%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on April 1, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/21)Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 84.8% implied probability for the DC metro area's median home value falling in the 542k-554k range on April 1, anchored by February 2026 Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) typical value of $572,410 for the Washington-Arlington-Alexandria DC-VA-MD-WV metro—down 0.3% year-over-year amid rising inventory and subdued buyer demand. Recent March reports show contract activity up just 1% through early year, with 30-year mortgage rates holding near 6%, pressuring affordability in a federal job market-sensitive region. Expectations of further softening reflect analyst forecasts for 0.7-1% annual declines, positioning 548-554k (49.3%) as the leading outcome ahead of imminent March ZHVI release.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 84.8% implied probability for the DC metro area's median home value falling in the 542k-554k range on April 1, anchored by February 2026 Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) typical value of $572,410 for the Washington-Arlington-Alexandria DC-VA-MD-WV metro—down 0.3% year-over-year amid rising inventory and subdued buyer demand. Recent March reports show contract activity up just 1% through early year, with 30-year mortgage rates holding near 6%, pressuring affordability in a federal job market-sensitive region. Expectations of further softening reflect analyst forecasts for 0.7-1% annual declines, positioning 548-554k (49.3%) as the leading outcome ahead of imminent March ZHVI release.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on April 1, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/21)Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 84.8% implied probability for the DC metro area's median home value falling in the 542k-554k range on April 1, anchored by February 2026 Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) typical value of $572,410 for the Washington-Arlington-Alexandria DC-VA-MD-WV metro—down 0.3% year-over-year amid rising inventory and subdued buyer demand. Recent March reports show contract activity up just 1% through early year, with 30-year mortgage rates holding near 6%, pressuring affordability in a federal job market-sensitive region. Expectations of further softening reflect analyst forecasts for 0.7-1% annual declines, positioning 548-554k (49.3%) as the leading outcome ahead of imminent March ZHVI release.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 84.8% implied probability for the DC metro area's median home value falling in the 542k-554k range on April 1, anchored by February 2026 Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) typical value of $572,410 for the Washington-Arlington-Alexandria DC-VA-MD-WV metro—down 0.3% year-over-year amid rising inventory and subdued buyer demand. Recent March reports show contract activity up just 1% through early year, with 30-year mortgage rates holding near 6%, pressuring affordability in a federal job market-sensitive region. Expectations of further softening reflect analyst forecasts for 0.7-1% annual declines, positioning 548-554k (49.3%) as the leading outcome ahead of imminent March ZHVI release.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Qual será o valor médio da casa na área metropolitana de DC no dia 1 de abril?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "548 - 554 mil" at 50%, followed by "542 - 548 mil" at 21%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 50¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Qual será o valor médio da casa na área metropolitana de DC no dia 1 de abril?" has generated $10.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 27, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Qual será o valor médio da casa na área metropolitana de DC no dia 1 de abril?," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Qual será o valor médio da casa na área metropolitana de DC no dia 1 de abril?" is "548 - 554 mil" at 50%, meaning the market assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "542 - 548 mil" at 21%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Qual será o valor médio da casa na área metropolitana de DC no dia 1 de abril?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.