Market icon
Economia·Miami·

Asked by

Parcl image

Parcl

Qual será o valor médio da casa em Miami no dia 1º de abril?

Market icon
Economia·Miami·

Asked by

Parcl image

Parcl

Qual será o valor médio da casa em Miami no dia 1º de abril?

1,22 - 1,24 mi 39.5%

>1,24 mi 26.0%

1,18 - 1,2 mi 18%

1,2 - 1,22 mi 16.1%

Polymarket

$10,018 Vol.

1,22 - 1,24 mi 39.5%

>1,24 mi 26.0%

1,18 - 1,2 mi 18%

1,2 - 1,22 mi 16.1%

Polymarket

$10,018 Vol.

<1,1 mi

$394 Vol.

2%

1,1 - 1,12 mi

$87 Vol.

2%

1,12 - 1,14 mi

$105 Vol.

11%

1,14 - 1,16 mi

$841 Vol.

6%

1,16 - 1,18 mi

$1,456 Vol.

9%

1,18 - 1,2 mi

$0 Vol.

18%

1,2 - 1,22 mi

$6,401 Vol.

27%

1,22 - 1,24 mi

$484 Vol.

33%

>1,24 mi

$250 Vol.

27%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Miami, Florida on April 1, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City. The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100, which is the median square footage in Miami. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/15)Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an implied median home value near $1.23 million for Miami on April 1, per Parcl Labs' daily sales price index, with the 1.22–1.24 million bin leading at 40% and over 68% probability above $1.22 million. This positioning reflects the index's upward trend from its March 1 resolution around $1.15 million, supported by Miami-Dade single-family median sale prices rising 3.7% year-over-year to $699,990 in January amid steady demand from migration and tourism recovery. Recent February data shows Redfin median sales at $725,000 (up 11.5% YoY), offsetting broader cooling in Zillow's ZHVI (down 2.3% to $574,000) due to rising inventory and persistent 6% mortgage rates. Imminent resolution heightens focus on final sales volume.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an implied median home value near $1.23 million for Miami on April 1, per Parcl Labs' daily sales price index, with the 1.22–1.24 million bin leading at 40% and over 68% probability above $1.22 million. This positioning reflects the index's upward trend from its March 1 resolution around $1.15 million, supported by Miami-Dade single-family median sale prices rising 3.7% year-over-year to $699,990 in January amid steady demand from migration and tourism recovery. Recent February data shows Redfin median sales at $725,000 (up 11.5% YoY), offsetting broader cooling in Zillow's ZHVI (down 2.3% to $574,000) due to rising inventory and persistent 6% mortgage rates. Imminent resolution heightens focus on final sales volume.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Miami, Florida on April 1, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City. The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100, which is the median square footage in Miami. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/15)Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an implied median home value near $1.23 million for Miami on April 1, per Parcl Labs' daily sales price index, with the 1.22–1.24 million bin leading at 40% and over 68% probability above $1.22 million. This positioning reflects the index's upward trend from its March 1 resolution around $1.15 million, supported by Miami-Dade single-family median sale prices rising 3.7% year-over-year to $699,990 in January amid steady demand from migration and tourism recovery. Recent February data shows Redfin median sales at $725,000 (up 11.5% YoY), offsetting broader cooling in Zillow's ZHVI (down 2.3% to $574,000) due to rising inventory and persistent 6% mortgage rates. Imminent resolution heightens focus on final sales volume.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an implied median home value near $1.23 million for Miami on April 1, per Parcl Labs' daily sales price index, with the 1.22–1.24 million bin leading at 40% and over 68% probability above $1.22 million. This positioning reflects the index's upward trend from its March 1 resolution around $1.15 million, supported by Miami-Dade single-family median sale prices rising 3.7% year-over-year to $699,990 in January amid steady demand from migration and tourism recovery. Recent February data shows Redfin median sales at $725,000 (up 11.5% YoY), offsetting broader cooling in Zillow's ZHVI (down 2.3% to $574,000) due to rising inventory and persistent 6% mortgage rates. Imminent resolution heightens focus on final sales volume.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Qual será o valor médio da casa em Miami no dia 1º de abril?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "1,22 - 1,24 mi" at 33%, followed by "1,2 - 1,22 mi" at 27%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 33¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 33% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Qual será o valor médio da casa em Miami no dia 1º de abril?" has generated $10K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 27, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Qual será o valor médio da casa em Miami no dia 1º de abril?," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Qual será o valor médio da casa em Miami no dia 1º de abril?" is "1,22 - 1,24 mi" at 33%, meaning the market assigns a 33% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "1,2 - 1,22 mi" at 27%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Qual será o valor médio da casa em Miami no dia 1º de abril?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.