Market icon
Economia·Miami·

Asked by

Parcl image

Parcl

Qual será o valor médio da casa em Miami no dia 1º de abril?

Market icon
Economia·Miami·

Asked by

Parcl image

Parcl

Qual será o valor médio da casa em Miami no dia 1º de abril?

1,22 - 1,24 mi 54.4%

1,2 - 1,22 mi 40.3%

>1,24 mi 26.0%

1,18 - 1,2 mi 18%

Polymarket
NEW

1,22 - 1,24 mi 54.4%

1,2 - 1,22 mi 40.3%

>1,24 mi 26.0%

1,18 - 1,2 mi 18%

Polymarket
NEW

<1,1 mi

$394 Vol.

2%

1,1 - 1,12 mi

$87 Vol.

2%

1,12 - 1,14 mi

$105 Vol.

15%

1,14 - 1,16 mi

$836 Vol.

6%

1,16 - 1,18 mi

$1,456 Vol.

10%

1,18 - 1,2 mi

$0 Vol.

18%

1,2 - 1,22 mi

$6,381 Vol.

29%

1,22 - 1,24 mi

$0 Vol.

54%

>1,24 mi

$250 Vol.

18%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Miami, Florida on April 1, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City. The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100, which is the median square footage in Miami. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/15)Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a Miami median home value near $1.23 million on April 1, with a 54.1% implied probability for the $1.22–1.24 million bin reflecting Parcl Labs Sales Price Index readings stabilizing in that range after a late-2025 national dip. Falling mortgage rates below 6%—first since 2022—have spurred buyer activity, evidenced by Miami-Dade County median sales prices rising 5% year-over-year to $685,000 in February amid climbing transaction volume into spring. Elevated inventory tempers upside, supporting the 29.1% odds on $1.20–1.22 million, while luxury demand from international buyers and Florida's tax advantages underpin resilience. Resolution hinges on Parcl's daily index update in three days.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a Miami median home value near $1.23 million on April 1, with a 54.1% implied probability for the $1.22–1.24 million bin reflecting Parcl Labs Sales Price Index readings stabilizing in that range after a late-2025 national dip. Falling mortgage rates below 6%—first since 2022—have spurred buyer activity, evidenced by Miami-Dade County median sales prices rising 5% year-over-year to $685,000 in February amid climbing transaction volume into spring. Elevated inventory tempers upside, supporting the 29.1% odds on $1.20–1.22 million, while luxury demand from international buyers and Florida's tax advantages underpin resilience. Resolution hinges on Parcl's daily index update in three days.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Miami, Florida on April 1, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City. The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100, which is the median square footage in Miami. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/15)Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a Miami median home value near $1.23 million on April 1, with a 54.1% implied probability for the $1.22–1.24 million bin reflecting Parcl Labs Sales Price Index readings stabilizing in that range after a late-2025 national dip. Falling mortgage rates below 6%—first since 2022—have spurred buyer activity, evidenced by Miami-Dade County median sales prices rising 5% year-over-year to $685,000 in February amid climbing transaction volume into spring. Elevated inventory tempers upside, supporting the 29.1% odds on $1.20–1.22 million, while luxury demand from international buyers and Florida's tax advantages underpin resilience. Resolution hinges on Parcl's daily index update in three days.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a Miami median home value near $1.23 million on April 1, with a 54.1% implied probability for the $1.22–1.24 million bin reflecting Parcl Labs Sales Price Index readings stabilizing in that range after a late-2025 national dip. Falling mortgage rates below 6%—first since 2022—have spurred buyer activity, evidenced by Miami-Dade County median sales prices rising 5% year-over-year to $685,000 in February amid climbing transaction volume into spring. Elevated inventory tempers upside, supporting the 29.1% odds on $1.20–1.22 million, while luxury demand from international buyers and Florida's tax advantages underpin resilience. Resolution hinges on Parcl's daily index update in three days.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Qual será o valor médio da casa em Miami no dia 1º de abril?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "1,22 - 1,24 mi" at 54%, followed by "1,2 - 1,22 mi" at 29%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 54¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 54% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Qual será o valor médio da casa em Miami no dia 1º de abril?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Feb 27, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Qual será o valor médio da casa em Miami no dia 1º de abril?," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Qual será o valor médio da casa em Miami no dia 1º de abril?" is "1,22 - 1,24 mi" at 54%, meaning the market assigns a 54% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "1,2 - 1,22 mi" at 29%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Qual será o valor médio da casa em Miami no dia 1º de abril?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.