Recent reports indicate SpaceX is poised to file its IPO prospectus this week, targeting a record $75 billion raise at a $1.75 trillion-plus valuation, propelling trader consensus toward the 2.0T+ outcome at 46.5% implied probability and 1.8T–2.0T at 22%. This surge builds on late-2025 tender offers valuing the company at $800 billion amid Starlink's explosive subscriber growth to over 10 million users and record Falcon 9 launch cadence, solidifying SpaceX's reusable rocket dominance over competitors like Blue Origin. Starship's orbital test successes further enhance multiplanetary ambitions, though profitability scrutiny lingers. Traders eye a potential June Nasdaq debut as the pivotal catalyst, with regulatory FAA approvals critical for resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoCapital de mercado de fechamento de IPO da SpaceX (greves mais baixas)
Capital de mercado de fechamento de IPO da SpaceX (greves mais baixas)
Acima de 2,0T 45%
1,8T–2,0T 22%
1,6T–1,8T 9.4%
1,4T–1,6T 6.0%
$641,803 Vol.
$641,803 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
Sem IPO antes de 2028
3%
<1,0T
4%
1,0T–1,2T
4%
1,2T–1,4T
3%
1,4T–1,6T
6%
1,6T–1,8T
9%
1,8T–2,0T
22%
Acima de 2,0T
45%
Acima de 2,0T 45%
1,8T–2,0T 22%
1,6T–1,8T 9.4%
1,4T–1,6T 6.0%
$641,803 Vol.
$641,803 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
Sem IPO antes de 2028
$139,479 Vol.
3%
<1,0T
$36,833 Vol.
4%
1,0T–1,2T
$24,826 Vol.
4%
1,2T–1,4T
$48,943 Vol.
3%
1,4T–1,6T
$96,317 Vol.
6%
1,6T–1,8T
$92,639 Vol.
9%
1,8T–2,0T
$63,577 Vol.
22%
Acima de 2,0T
$139,189 Vol.
45%
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Recent reports indicate SpaceX is poised to file its IPO prospectus this week, targeting a record $75 billion raise at a $1.75 trillion-plus valuation, propelling trader consensus toward the 2.0T+ outcome at 46.5% implied probability and 1.8T–2.0T at 22%. This surge builds on late-2025 tender offers valuing the company at $800 billion amid Starlink's explosive subscriber growth to over 10 million users and record Falcon 9 launch cadence, solidifying SpaceX's reusable rocket dominance over competitors like Blue Origin. Starship's orbital test successes further enhance multiplanetary ambitions, though profitability scrutiny lingers. Traders eye a potential June Nasdaq debut as the pivotal catalyst, with regulatory FAA approvals critical for resolution.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Mercado Aberto: Jan 23, 2026, 1:58 PM ET
Volume
$641,803Data de Término
Dec 31, 2027Mercado Aberto
Jan 23, 2026, 1:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Recent reports indicate SpaceX is poised to file its IPO prospectus this week, targeting a record $75 billion raise at a $1.75 trillion-plus valuation, propelling trader consensus toward the 2.0T+ outcome at 46.5% implied probability and 1.8T–2.0T at 22%. This surge builds on late-2025 tender offers valuing the company at $800 billion amid Starlink's explosive subscriber growth to over 10 million users and record Falcon 9 launch cadence, solidifying SpaceX's reusable rocket dominance over competitors like Blue Origin. Starship's orbital test successes further enhance multiplanetary ambitions, though profitability scrutiny lingers. Traders eye a potential June Nasdaq debut as the pivotal catalyst, with regulatory FAA approvals critical for resolution.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$641,803Data de Término
Dec 31, 2027Mercado Aberto
Jan 23, 2026, 1:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent reports indicate SpaceX is poised to file its IPO prospectus this week, targeting a record $75 billion raise at a $1.75 trillion-plus valuation, propelling trader consensus toward the 2.0T+ outcome at 46.5% implied probability and 1.8T–2.0T at 22%. This surge builds on late-2025 tender offers valuing the company at $800 billion amid Starlink's explosive subscriber growth to over 10 million users and record Falcon 9 launch cadence, solidifying SpaceX's reusable rocket dominance over competitors like Blue Origin. Starship's orbital test successes further enhance multiplanetary ambitions, though profitability scrutiny lingers. Traders eye a potential June Nasdaq debut as the pivotal catalyst, with regulatory FAA approvals critical for resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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