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NV-03 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for NV-03 Democratic Primary Winner

NV-03 Democratic Primary Winner

Susie Lee 87%

James Lally 7%

Terrill Robinson 5%

Brandon West <1%

Polymarket
NOVO

Susie Lee 87%

James Lally 7%

Terrill Robinson 5%

Brandon West <1%

Polymarket
NOVO

Susie Lee

$1,194 Vol.

87%

James Lally

$919 Vol.

7%

Terrill Robinson

$1,282 Vol.

5%

Brandon West

$775 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Susie Lee holds an overwhelming lead in the Nevada Democratic primary for the 3rd Congressional District, set for June 9, due to her established fundraising edge of roughly four-to-one over the nearest challenger and consistent past primary victories exceeding 80 percent. James Lally, a physician emphasizing healthcare access and accountability, has secured some progressive endorsements but trails significantly in resources, while Terrill Robinson and Brandon West remain lesser-known options with limited visibility. No major recent campaign developments or external events have altered the dynamics in the closing weeks, leaving trader consensus aligned with Lee’s structural advantages as the sitting representative seeking renomination in a closed primary system.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 9, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$4,171
Data de Término
9 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
May 25, 2026, 3:38 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Susie Lee holds an overwhelming lead in the Nevada Democratic primary for the 3rd Congressional District, set for June 9, due to her established fundraising edge of roughly four-to-one over the nearest challenger and consistent past primary victories exceeding 80 percent. James Lally, a physician emphasizing healthcare access and accountability, has secured some progressive endorsements but trails significantly in resources, while Terrill Robinson and Brandon West remain lesser-known options with limited visibility. No major recent campaign developments or external events have altered the dynamics in the closing weeks, leaving trader consensus aligned with Lee’s structural advantages as the sitting representative seeking renomination in a closed primary system.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 9, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$4,171
Data de Término
9 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
May 25, 2026, 3:38 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"NV-03 Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Susie Lee" at 87%, followed by "James Lally" at 7%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 87¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 87% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"NV-03 Democratic Primary Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on May 25, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "NV-03 Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "NV-03 Democratic Primary Winner" is "Susie Lee" at 87%, meaning the market assigns a 87% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "James Lally" at 7%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "NV-03 Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.