Tarik Skubal's status as the 2024 AL Cy Young winner anchors trader sentiment at 25%, but Dylan Cease's elite strikeout stuff (24.8%) and George Kirby's surgical command (23.3%) keep odds tightly bunched amid the AL's deep pitching talent pool. Recent offseason developments, including Cease's trade value amid Padres' payroll scrutiny and Kirby's emergence in Seattle's stacked rotation, amplify upside projections for 2026 workloads. Free-agent dynamics like Max Fried's potential AL landing and Jacob deGrom's health rebound introduce volatility, while young arms like Garrett Crochet and Bryan Woo embody regression risks and breakout potential, reflecting traders' emphasis on sustained innings, ERA+ stability, and run support in contender contexts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoTarik Skubal 19%
Garrett Crochet 15%
Jacob deGrom 12%
Max Fried 9.6%
Tarik Skubal
25%
Garrett Crochet
11%
Jacob deGrom
12%
Cole Ragans
7%
Hunter Brown
5%
Max Fried
10%
Bryan Woo
9%
Logan Gilbert
8%
Kyle Bradish
6%
Joe Ryan
6%
Ranger Suárez
6%
Nathan Eovaldi
6%
Dylan Cease
25%
George Kirby
23%
Carlos Rodón
5%
Kevin Gausman
5%
MacKenzie Gore
6%
Jose Soriano
5%
Pablo Lopez
6%
Gavin Williams
6%
Bryce Miller
6%
Cam Schlittler
6%
Gerrit Cole
5%
Tarik Skubal 19%
Garrett Crochet 15%
Jacob deGrom 12%
Max Fried 9.6%
Tarik Skubal
25%
Garrett Crochet
11%
Jacob deGrom
12%
Cole Ragans
7%
Hunter Brown
5%
Max Fried
10%
Bryan Woo
9%
Logan Gilbert
8%
Kyle Bradish
6%
Joe Ryan
6%
Ranger Suárez
6%
Nathan Eovaldi
6%
Dylan Cease
25%
George Kirby
23%
Carlos Rodón
5%
Kevin Gausman
5%
MacKenzie Gore
6%
Jose Soriano
5%
Pablo Lopez
6%
Gavin Williams
6%
Bryce Miller
6%
Cam Schlittler
6%
Gerrit Cole
5%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Feb 18, 2026, 10:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Tarik Skubal's status as the 2024 AL Cy Young winner anchors trader sentiment at 25%, but Dylan Cease's elite strikeout stuff (24.8%) and George Kirby's surgical command (23.3%) keep odds tightly bunched amid the AL's deep pitching talent pool. Recent offseason developments, including Cease's trade value amid Padres' payroll scrutiny and Kirby's emergence in Seattle's stacked rotation, amplify upside projections for 2026 workloads. Free-agent dynamics like Max Fried's potential AL landing and Jacob deGrom's health rebound introduce volatility, while young arms like Garrett Crochet and Bryan Woo embody regression risks and breakout potential, reflecting traders' emphasis on sustained innings, ERA+ stability, and run support in contender contexts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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