Traders' 75.5% consensus on "No" for a major space weather event March 22-28 reflects NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center forecasts showing negligible risk of G3-plus geomagnetic storms, X10-plus solar flares, or S3-plus radiation storms—the precise thresholds for resolution. Active Region AR3615 has produced M-class flares and minor radio blackouts (R1-R2 expected through March 27), but coronagraph imagery confirms no Earth-directed coronal mass ejections (CMEs), following the dissipation of a prior G2 storm on March 24. A weak coronal hole high-speed stream may yield unsettled conditions by March 25-26, yet models indicate only G1-minor potential at best, aligning with post-solar maximum lull in extreme activity despite elevated sunspot numbers around 150.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoGrande evento de Clima Espacial esta semana? (22 a 28 de março)
Grande evento de Clima Espacial esta semana? (22 a 28 de março)
Sim
Sim
A G3 event is a geomagnetic storm with a classification indicating "Strong". An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. An R3 event is a radio blackout event with a classification indicating "Strong". More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
This market will resolve immediately upon the occurrence of a qualifying event. Any later revisions or corrections will not be considered.
This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center under the heading marked "Current Space Weather Conditions". (https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#)
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
Mercado Aberto: Mar 16, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A G3 event is a geomagnetic storm with a classification indicating "Strong". An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. An R3 event is a radio blackout event with a classification indicating "Strong". More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
This market will resolve immediately upon the occurrence of a qualifying event. Any later revisions or corrections will not be considered.
This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center under the heading marked "Current Space Weather Conditions". (https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#)
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Traders' 75.5% consensus on "No" for a major space weather event March 22-28 reflects NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center forecasts showing negligible risk of G3-plus geomagnetic storms, X10-plus solar flares, or S3-plus radiation storms—the precise thresholds for resolution. Active Region AR3615 has produced M-class flares and minor radio blackouts (R1-R2 expected through March 27), but coronagraph imagery confirms no Earth-directed coronal mass ejections (CMEs), following the dissipation of a prior G2 storm on March 24. A weak coronal hole high-speed stream may yield unsettled conditions by March 25-26, yet models indicate only G1-minor potential at best, aligning with post-solar maximum lull in extreme activity despite elevated sunspot numbers around 150.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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