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icon for Liberal vs. Conservative polling margin Friday?

Liberal vs. Conservative polling margin Friday?

icon for Liberal vs. Conservative polling margin Friday?

Liberal vs. Conservative polling margin Friday?

Liberals lead by 5% or more 100.0%

Conservatives lead <1%

Liberals lead by 0-1% <1%

Liberals lead by 1-2% <1%

Polymarket

$79,009 Vol.

Liberals lead by 5% or more 100.0%

Conservatives lead <1%

Liberals lead by 0-1% <1%

Liberals lead by 1-2% <1%

Polymarket

$79,009 Vol.

Conservatives lead

$13,290 Vol.

No

Liberals lead by 0-1%

$9,204 Vol.

No

Liberals lead by 1-2%

$14,104 Vol.

No

Liberals lead by 2-3%

$7,188 Vol.

No

Liberals lead by 3-4%

$10,487 Vol.

No

Liberals lead by 4-5%

$8,796 Vol.

No

Liberals lead by 5% or more

$15,940 Vol.

Yes

This is a market on the CBCNews Polling Average margin between the Conservative Party and the Liberal Party as of April 4, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, specifically the numbers indicated by the blue and red trend lines located on the line graph at https://newsinteractives.cbc.ca/elections/poll-tracker/canada. Changes in the methodology by which CBCNews calculates its figures will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the CBCNews Polling Average margin data between the Conservative Party and the Liberal Party is not available as of April 4, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, the last published data will be used. If CBCNews polling becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published data.

This is a market on the CBCNews Polling Average margin between the Conservative Party and the Liberal Party as of April 4, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, specifically the numbers indicated by the blue and red trend lines located on the line graph at https://newsinteractives.cbc.ca/elections/poll-tracker/canada.

Changes in the methodology by which CBCNews calculates its figures will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the CBCNews Polling Average margin data between the Conservative Party and the Liberal Party is not available as of April 4, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, the last published data will be used.

If CBCNews polling becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published data.
Volume
$79,009
Data de Término
4 abr 2025
Mercado Aberto
Mar 28, 2025, 3:09 PM ET
This is a market on the CBCNews Polling Average margin between the Conservative Party and the Liberal Party as of April 4, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, specifically the numbers indicated by the blue and red trend lines located on the line graph at https://newsinteractives.cbc.ca/elections/poll-tracker/canada. Changes in the methodology by which CBCNews calculates its figures will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the CBCNews Polling Average margin data between the Conservative Party and the Liberal Party is not available as of April 4, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, the last published data will be used. If CBCNews polling becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published data.

Resultado proposto: No

Sem contestação

Resultado final: No

This is a market on the CBCNews Polling Average margin between the Conservative Party and the Liberal Party as of April 4, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, specifically the numbers indicated by the blue and red trend lines located on the line graph at https://newsinteractives.cbc.ca/elections/poll-tracker/canada. Changes in the methodology by which CBCNews calculates its figures will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the CBCNews Polling Average margin data between the Conservative Party and the Liberal Party is not available as of April 4, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, the last published data will be used. If CBCNews polling becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published data.

This is a market on the CBCNews Polling Average margin between the Conservative Party and the Liberal Party as of April 4, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, specifically the numbers indicated by the blue and red trend lines located on the line graph at https://newsinteractives.cbc.ca/elections/poll-tracker/canada.

Changes in the methodology by which CBCNews calculates its figures will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the CBCNews Polling Average margin data between the Conservative Party and the Liberal Party is not available as of April 4, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, the last published data will be used.

If CBCNews polling becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published data.
Volume
$79,009
Data de Término
4 abr 2025
Mercado Aberto
Mar 28, 2025, 3:09 PM ET
This is a market on the CBCNews Polling Average margin between the Conservative Party and the Liberal Party as of April 4, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, specifically the numbers indicated by the blue and red trend lines located on the line graph at https://newsinteractives.cbc.ca/elections/poll-tracker/canada. Changes in the methodology by which CBCNews calculates its figures will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the CBCNews Polling Average margin data between the Conservative Party and the Liberal Party is not available as of April 4, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, the last published data will be used. If CBCNews polling becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published data.

Resultado proposto: No

Sem contestação

Resultado final: No

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Liberal vs. Conservative polling margin Friday?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Liberals lead by 5% or more" at 100%, followed by "Conservatives lead" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Liberal vs. Conservative polling margin Friday?" has generated $79K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 28, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Liberal vs. Conservative polling margin Friday?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Liberal vs. Conservative polling margin Friday?" is "Liberals lead by 5% or more" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Conservatives lead" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Liberal vs. Conservative polling margin Friday?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.