Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors SpaceX as the largest IPO by market cap in 2026, with an implied 89.5% probability driven by recent reports of imminent S-1 filing this week for a potential June listing targeting a record $1.75 trillion valuation and $75 billion raise. The February 2026 acquisition of xAI, valuing the combined entity at over $1.25 trillion, has supercharged expectations by integrating advanced AI capabilities for orbital data centers and Starship expansion, solidifying SpaceX's lead over rivals. xAI's 25.5% odds reflect pre-merger momentum but now hinge on the SpaceX timeline. Anthropic and OpenAI trail at 4% each amid Q4 2026 IPO considerations at sub-trillion valuations, lacking SpaceX's advanced regulatory progress and scale. Watch for SEC filing confirmation as the key near-term catalyst.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoMaior IPO por valor de mercado em 2026?
Maior IPO por valor de mercado em 2026?
SpaceX 90%
Anthropic 4.1%
OpenAI 4.0%
Discord <1%
$1,625,182 Vol.
$1,625,182 Vol.
31 dez 2026
SpaceX
90%
Anthropic
4%
OpenAI
4%
Discord
1%
Kraken
1%
Stripe
<1%
Databricks
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Perplexity AI
<1%
Revolut
<1%
Waymo
<1%
SHEIN
<1%
SpaceX 90%
Anthropic 4.1%
OpenAI 4.0%
Discord <1%
$1,625,182 Vol.
$1,625,182 Vol.
31 dez 2026
SpaceX
$180,448 Vol.
90%
Anthropic
$342,992 Vol.
4%
OpenAI
$295,465 Vol.
4%
Discord
$68,035 Vol.
1%
Kraken
$373,619 Vol.
1%
Stripe
$38,578 Vol.
<1%
Databricks
$67,380 Vol.
<1%
ByteDance
$84,167 Vol.
<1%
Perplexity AI
$53,198 Vol.
<1%
Revolut
$24,959 Vol.
<1%
Waymo
$44,370 Vol.
<1%
SHEIN
$51,970 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors SpaceX as the largest IPO by market cap in 2026, with an implied 89.5% probability driven by recent reports of imminent S-1 filing this week for a potential June listing targeting a record $1.75 trillion valuation and $75 billion raise. The February 2026 acquisition of xAI, valuing the combined entity at over $1.25 trillion, has supercharged expectations by integrating advanced AI capabilities for orbital data centers and Starship expansion, solidifying SpaceX's lead over rivals. xAI's 25.5% odds reflect pre-merger momentum but now hinge on the SpaceX timeline. Anthropic and OpenAI trail at 4% each amid Q4 2026 IPO considerations at sub-trillion valuations, lacking SpaceX's advanced regulatory progress and scale. Watch for SEC filing confirmation as the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Mercado Aberto: Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ET
Volume
$1,625,182Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors SpaceX as the largest IPO by market cap in 2026, with an implied 89.5% probability driven by recent reports of imminent S-1 filing this week for a potential June listing targeting a record $1.75 trillion valuation and $75 billion raise. The February 2026 acquisition of xAI, valuing the combined entity at over $1.25 trillion, has supercharged expectations by integrating advanced AI capabilities for orbital data centers and Starship expansion, solidifying SpaceX's lead over rivals. xAI's 25.5% odds reflect pre-merger momentum but now hinge on the SpaceX timeline. Anthropic and OpenAI trail at 4% each amid Q4 2026 IPO considerations at sub-trillion valuations, lacking SpaceX's advanced regulatory progress and scale. Watch for SEC filing confirmation as the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$1,625,182Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors SpaceX as the largest IPO by market cap in 2026, with an implied 89.5% probability driven by recent reports of imminent S-1 filing this week for a potential June listing targeting a record $1.75 trillion valuation and $75 billion raise. The February 2026 acquisition of xAI, valuing the combined entity at over $1.25 trillion, has supercharged expectations by integrating advanced AI capabilities for orbital data centers and Starship expansion, solidifying SpaceX's lead over rivals. xAI's 25.5% odds reflect pre-merger momentum but now hinge on the SpaceX timeline. Anthropic and OpenAI trail at 4% each amid Q4 2026 IPO considerations at sub-trillion valuations, lacking SpaceX's advanced regulatory progress and scale. Watch for SEC filing confirmation as the key near-term catalyst.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions