Trader sentiment on Polymarket heavily favors a SpaceX IPO in June at 64% implied probability, driven by recent Starship test successes and a blockbuster secondary tender offer valuing the company at over $210 billion—its highest ever—signaling robust private market demand amid peaking space sector hype. This positions June as the consensus near-term trigger, with July (11%) and August (9%) as trailing alternatives, while "No IPO before 2027" holds 11.5% reflecting Elon Musk's repeated insistence on delaying until reliable Mars missions. Absent SEC filings or announcements, these odds capture capital-weighted optimism, tempered by macroeconomic tailwinds like low rates boosting tech listings, though regulatory hurdles loom as key resolution risks.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoJunho 66%
Sem IPO antes de 2027 11.1%
Julho 11.0%
Agosto 9.0%
$81,609 Vol.
$81,609 Vol.
Março
1%
Abril
6%
Maio
5%
Junho
66%
Julho
11%
Agosto
9%
Setembro
2%
Outubro
3%
Novembro
5%
Dezembro
1%
Sem IPO antes de 2027
11%
Junho 66%
Sem IPO antes de 2027 11.1%
Julho 11.0%
Agosto 9.0%
$81,609 Vol.
$81,609 Vol.
Março
1%
Abril
6%
Maio
5%
Junho
66%
Julho
11%
Agosto
9%
Setembro
2%
Outubro
3%
Novembro
5%
Dezembro
1%
Sem IPO antes de 2027
11%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Mercado Aberto: Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader sentiment on Polymarket heavily favors a SpaceX IPO in June at 64% implied probability, driven by recent Starship test successes and a blockbuster secondary tender offer valuing the company at over $210 billion—its highest ever—signaling robust private market demand amid peaking space sector hype. This positions June as the consensus near-term trigger, with July (11%) and August (9%) as trailing alternatives, while "No IPO before 2027" holds 11.5% reflecting Elon Musk's repeated insistence on delaying until reliable Mars missions. Absent SEC filings or announcements, these odds capture capital-weighted optimism, tempered by macroeconomic tailwinds like low rates boosting tech listings, though regulatory hurdles loom as key resolution risks.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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