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Política·Desligamento Do Gov

Quanto tempo durará o desligamento do DHS?

Market icon
Política·Desligamento Do Gov

Quanto tempo durará o desligamento do DHS?

mar 14

mar 14

Polymarket

$1,438,464 Vol.

Polymarket

$1,438,464 Vol.

70+ dias

$31,448 Vol.

93%

80+ dias

$32,427 Vol.

83%

90+ dias

$39,267 Vol.

70%

100+ dias

$173 Vol.

25%

110+ dias

$90 Vol.

22%

120+ dias

$200 Vol.

52%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026 lasts for at least the listed number of days, inclusive of the beginning and ending dates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The end date of the shut down will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.The partial Department of Homeland Security (DHS) shutdown, ongoing since February 14, 2026, stems from congressional impasse over appropriations for Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) reforms and Customs and Border Protection (CBP) funding tied to immigration enforcement priorities, while other federal agencies received full fiscal year 2026 funding. DHS officials testified before the House Appropriations Committee this week, highlighting surging backlogs in contracts, cybersecurity, disaster response via FEMA, and 2026 World Cup security planning disruptions. A Senate stop-gap bill on April 5 reopened most DHS functions, but ICE and CBP remain furloughed. President Trump issued a memorandum directing back pay for workers. Traders eye upcoming House floor votes, whip counts, and bipartisan talks amid filibuster risks and no firm timeline for resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026 lasts for at least the listed number of days, inclusive of the beginning and ending dates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The end date of the shut down will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.

The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,438,464
Data de Término
14 mar 2026
Mercado Aberto
Feb 15, 2026, 2:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026 lasts for at least the listed number of days, inclusive of the beginning and ending dates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The end date of the shut down will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.

Resultado proposto: Sim

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Sim

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026 lasts for at least the listed number of days, inclusive of the beginning and ending dates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The end date of the shut down will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.The partial Department of Homeland Security (DHS) shutdown, ongoing since February 14, 2026, stems from congressional impasse over appropriations for Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) reforms and Customs and Border Protection (CBP) funding tied to immigration enforcement priorities, while other federal agencies received full fiscal year 2026 funding. DHS officials testified before the House Appropriations Committee this week, highlighting surging backlogs in contracts, cybersecurity, disaster response via FEMA, and 2026 World Cup security planning disruptions. A Senate stop-gap bill on April 5 reopened most DHS functions, but ICE and CBP remain furloughed. President Trump issued a memorandum directing back pay for workers. Traders eye upcoming House floor votes, whip counts, and bipartisan talks amid filibuster risks and no firm timeline for resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026 lasts for at least the listed number of days, inclusive of the beginning and ending dates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The end date of the shut down will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.

The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,438,464
Data de Término
14 mar 2026
Mercado Aberto
Feb 15, 2026, 2:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026 lasts for at least the listed number of days, inclusive of the beginning and ending dates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The end date of the shut down will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.

Resultado proposto: Sim

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Sim

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Quanto tempo durará o desligamento do DHS?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 18 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "3+ dias" at 100%, followed by "5+ dias" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Quanto tempo durará o desligamento do DHS?" has generated $1.4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 15, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Quanto tempo durará o desligamento do DHS?," browse the 18 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Quanto tempo durará o desligamento do DHS?" is "3+ dias" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "5+ dias" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Quanto tempo durará o desligamento do DHS?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.