Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 78-79°F in Denver on March 24, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast pinpointing exactly that range amid a persistent high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies and downslope winds. Ensemble models from GFS and ECMWF have converged on this outcome, aligning with recent soundings showing dry, stable air masses and minimal cloud interference—conditions that amplify adiabatic warming. Historical March norms hover around 55°F, making this a notable warm anomaly supported by soil heat retention from prior sunny days. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen late-afternoon cold front or increased cloud cover from upstream moisture, though current upper-air patterns make such shifts unlikely below 5% probability per model spreads.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Denver on March 24?
Highest temperature in Denver on March 24?
78-79°F 100.0%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
$161,377 Vol.
$161,377 Vol.
78-79°F
100%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 100.0%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
$161,377 Vol.
$161,377 Vol.
78-79°F
100%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckly Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 20, 2026, 6:19 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDENResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDENResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 78-79°F in Denver on March 24, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast pinpointing exactly that range amid a persistent high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies and downslope winds. Ensemble models from GFS and ECMWF have converged on this outcome, aligning with recent soundings showing dry, stable air masses and minimal cloud interference—conditions that amplify adiabatic warming. Historical March norms hover around 55°F, making this a notable warm anomaly supported by soil heat retention from prior sunny days. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen late-afternoon cold front or increased cloud cover from upstream moisture, though current upper-air patterns make such shifts unlikely below 5% probability per model spreads.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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