Israel's commanding 37.5% implied probability in the Eurovision 2026 televote winner market stems primarily from their powerhouse public vote performances, notably topping the 2024 grand final televote amid fierce fan mobilization despite geopolitical tensions. Greece at 21.5% gains traction from their vibrant pop entries and rising regional support, while Finland's 16% reflects enduring appeal post-Käärijä's 2023 televote surge and strong Melodifestivalen-style selections. Trader sentiment hinges on early national selection buzz, with bookmakers mirroring these odds based on historical televote patterns favoring high-energy ballads and anthems. Key catalysts ahead include host city bids announcement and first national final reveals in late 2025, potentially shifting dynamics as confirmed acts emerge.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoEurovision 2026: Televote Winner
Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner
Israel 38%
Greece 21%
Finland 16%
Sweden 6.6%
$717,533 Vol.
$717,533 Vol.

Israel
38%

Greece
21%

Finland
16%

Sweden
7%

France
4%

Moldova
4%

Poland
3%

Ukraine
3%

Cyprus
3%

Switzerland
3%

Denmark
2%

Luxembourg
2%

Italy
1%

Estonia
1%

Australia
1%

Azerbaijan
1%

Malta
1%

Belgium
1%

Romania
1%

Croatia
1%

Bulgaria
1%

Germany
1%

United Kingdom
<1%

Czechia
<1%

Norway
<1%

Latvia
<1%

Lithuania
<1%

Serbia
<1%

Portugal
<1%

Armenia
<1%

Albania
<1%

Austria
<1%

Georgia
<1%

Montenegro
<1%

San Marino
<1%
Israel 38%
Greece 21%
Finland 16%
Sweden 6.6%
$717,533 Vol.
$717,533 Vol.

Israel
38%

Greece
21%

Finland
16%

Sweden
7%

France
4%

Moldova
4%

Poland
3%

Ukraine
3%

Cyprus
3%

Switzerland
3%

Denmark
2%

Luxembourg
2%

Italy
1%

Estonia
1%

Australia
1%

Azerbaijan
1%

Malta
1%

Belgium
1%

Romania
1%

Croatia
1%

Bulgaria
1%

Germany
1%

United Kingdom
<1%

Czechia
<1%

Norway
<1%

Latvia
<1%

Lithuania
<1%

Serbia
<1%

Portugal
<1%

Armenia
<1%

Albania
<1%

Austria
<1%

Georgia
<1%

Montenegro
<1%

San Marino
<1%
This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.
All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 19, 2026, 7:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Israel's commanding 37.5% implied probability in the Eurovision 2026 televote winner market stems primarily from their powerhouse public vote performances, notably topping the 2024 grand final televote amid fierce fan mobilization despite geopolitical tensions. Greece at 21.5% gains traction from their vibrant pop entries and rising regional support, while Finland's 16% reflects enduring appeal post-Käärijä's 2023 televote surge and strong Melodifestivalen-style selections. Trader sentiment hinges on early national selection buzz, with bookmakers mirroring these odds based on historical televote patterns favoring high-energy ballads and anthems. Key catalysts ahead include host city bids announcement and first national final reveals in late 2025, potentially shifting dynamics as confirmed acts emerge.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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