Israel's 32% implied probability leads the Eurovision 2026 televote winner market, driven by its powerhouse diaspora voting bloc and dominant 2024 televote victory (323 points), positioning it as a perennial public favorite despite jury skepticism. Greece trails at 20.5%, leveraging similar expatriate support in the UK and Australia, amplified by strong 2024-2025 entries like Sasa's catchy pop. Finland's 15% reflects Nordic enthusiasm post-Windows95man's viral 2025 buzz, favoring upbeat, genre-bending acts. With no confirmed entries yet—national selections kicking off late 2025—this wide-open field hinges on pre-contest hype, staging innovation, and streaming virality, as traders weigh historical televote patterns against geopolitical sensitivities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoEurovision 2026: Televote Winner
Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner
Israel 32%
Greece 21%
Finland 15%
Denmark 7.1%
$487,181 Vol.
$487,181 Vol.

Israel
32%

Greece
21%

Finland
15%

Denmark
7%

France
6%

Italy
4%

Poland
4%

Germany
3%

Ukraine
3%

Moldova
2%

Belgium
1%

Switzerland
1%

Estonia
1%

Azerbaijan
1%

Czechia
1%

Romania
1%

Malta
1%

Bulgaria
1%

Sweden
1%

Lithuania
1%

Latvia
1%

Norway
1%

Serbia
<1%

United Kingdom
<1%

Portugal
<1%

Croatia
<1%

Albania
<1%

Cyprus
<1%

Georgia
<1%

Montenegro
<1%

Luxembourg
<1%

Armenia
<1%

Austria
<1%

Australia
<1%

San Marino
<1%
Israel 32%
Greece 21%
Finland 15%
Denmark 7.1%
$487,181 Vol.
$487,181 Vol.

Israel
32%

Greece
21%

Finland
15%

Denmark
7%

France
6%

Italy
4%

Poland
4%

Germany
3%

Ukraine
3%

Moldova
2%

Belgium
1%

Switzerland
1%

Estonia
1%

Azerbaijan
1%

Czechia
1%

Romania
1%

Malta
1%

Bulgaria
1%

Sweden
1%

Lithuania
1%

Latvia
1%

Norway
1%

Serbia
<1%

United Kingdom
<1%

Portugal
<1%

Croatia
<1%

Albania
<1%

Cyprus
<1%

Georgia
<1%

Montenegro
<1%

Luxembourg
<1%

Armenia
<1%

Austria
<1%

Australia
<1%

San Marino
<1%
This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.
All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 19, 2026, 7:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Israel's 32% implied probability leads the Eurovision 2026 televote winner market, driven by its powerhouse diaspora voting bloc and dominant 2024 televote victory (323 points), positioning it as a perennial public favorite despite jury skepticism. Greece trails at 20.5%, leveraging similar expatriate support in the UK and Australia, amplified by strong 2024-2025 entries like Sasa's catchy pop. Finland's 15% reflects Nordic enthusiasm post-Windows95man's viral 2025 buzz, favoring upbeat, genre-bending acts. With no confirmed entries yet—national selections kicking off late 2025—this wide-open field hinges on pre-contest hype, staging innovation, and streaming virality, as traders weigh historical televote patterns against geopolitical sensitivities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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